Jesper De Jong vs Joao FonsecaEstoril CH Round of 32

Estoril CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#73ATP
1711ELO
1696Clay ELO
$612kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 27 April 2025
clay
#27ATP
1928ELO
1856Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
De Jong J.
6-2 7-5
Fonseca J.
De Jong J.
672
Fonseca J.
250

Jesper De Jong defeated Joao Fonseca 6-2 7-5 in the Estoril CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Joao Fonseca came in ranked #27, leading the head-to-head 1–0, but Jesper De Jong had been the form player, winning 5 of their last 6 on clay. Jesper De Jong claimed a first win over Joao Fonseca in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-01WimbledonR64grassJoao Fonseca1-6 5-7 4-6

Serve vs return

This season
De Jong J.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Fonseca J.

Fonseca J.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs De Jong J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

De Jong J.Fonseca J.
Serve
64
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.9
5.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (83 vs 64). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
57
76
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
97
Break points won·Slight edge
37
43
Deciding sets·Clear edge
69
89
Tiebreaks·Dominant
62
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Clay Elo 1696
Surface ELO
7.4+161 Clay Elo edge
1.3Overall Elo 1711
ELO gap
8.7Overall Elo 1928
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
6.8
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
8.0
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
78
94

De Jong J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d) · Fonseca J.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast