Brandon Nakashima vs Jack DraperEastbourne Round of 32

Eastbourne · ATP · Round of 32
#32ATP
1812ELO
$829kYTD
$7.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLWWLWL
Sets
Monday, 22 June 2026 ·
#113ATP
1808ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLWWWLWWL
Nakashima B.
vs
Draper J.

Brandon Nakashima faces Jack Draper in the Eastbourne round of 32. Brandon Nakashima is the paper favourite — ranked #32 — but Jack Draper has won 2 of their 3 previous meetings.

Around the match

  • I'm pumped to be back

    Draper J.LTA
  • Andy is amazing to be honest. On the court, there's not many people more knowledgeable than Andy. He's been an amazing support to me, especially having gone through so much with injuries in his career.

    Draper J.LTA

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Jack Draper has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 88 vs 58).
  • Head-to-head: Jack Draper leads the head-to-head 2–1. Last met at Queen's Club 2025.
  • Fatigue load: Brandon Nakashima carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0Overall Elo 1812
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1808
1.8Trails 0–3 on None
H2H
8.2Leads 3–0 on None
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Draper J.Coolingearly

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

22 vs 8 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
69%
68%
Return points won·Even
34%
32%
Break points saved·Even
56%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
9.5
7.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
0.7
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Draper J.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
58
88
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
13
83
Deciding sets·Dominant
69
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
74

Nakashima B.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 71%

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-16Queen's ClubQFgrassJack Draper6-4 5-7 6-4
2024-06-10StuttgartSFgrassJack Draper6-3 6-3
2022-11-07NextGen FinalsSFhardBrandon Nakashima4-3(6) 1-4 4-2 4-3(5)
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final