Jack Draper vs Roberto Bautista AgutIndian Wells Masters Round of 64

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#145ATP
1822ELO
1783Hard ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#180ATP
1700ELO
1668Hard ELO
$430kYTD
$20MCAREER
38 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWL
Draper J.
3-6 6-3 6-2
Bautista Agut R.
Draper J.
3662
Bautista Agut R.
6321

Jack Draper defeated Roberto Bautista Agut 3-6 6-3 6-2 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jack Draper came in ranked #145, defending the title.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Draper J.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Bautista Agut R.

Bautista Agut R.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Draper J.Bautista Agut R.
Serve
23
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
31%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.7
2.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
85
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Slight edge
83
75
Deciding sets·Slight edge
96
87
Tiebreaks·Even
95
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 23 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
7.4+114 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Hard Elo 1668
7.2Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1700
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.5
Surface form
3.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.6
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.9
Country comfort
5.3
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Draper J.: 18 days rest · Bautista Agut R.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%