Marin Cilic vs Brandon Nakashima — Miami Masters Round of 64

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 64
Marin Cilic
CRO
Marin Cilic
#62ATP
1800ELO
1762Hard ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 18 March 2026
hard
Brandon Nakashima
USA27
Brandon Nakashima
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Cilic M.
2-6 6-4 7-6
Nakashima B.
Cilic M.
26792
Nakashima B.
64671

Marin Cilic defeated Brandon Nakashima 2-6 6-4 7-6 in the Miami Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31, defending last year's round of 16. Marin Cilic extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-16Delray BeachR32hardBrandon Nakashima7-6(4) 7-6(5)
2024-09-18HangzhouSFhardMarin Cilic6-4 7-6(6)

Serve vs return

This season
Cilic M.serving92% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cilic M.Nakashima B.
57
Serve
61
10
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Cilic M.Nakashima B.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
81%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
67%
69%
Return points won·Even
35%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
10.8
9.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
0.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Cilic M.Nakashima B.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
56
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
42
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
64
Tiebreaks·Even
87
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Cilic M.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Nakashima B.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1762
Surface ELO
5.1+26 Hard Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 1800
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1839
4.6
H2H
5.4
5.3
Surface form
5.8
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
7.8
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
6.0
Country comfort
7.1
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Cilic M.Nakashima B.
Freshness·Clear edge
96
78

Cilic M.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Nakashima B.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 62 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 81%
Final
Sinner J.[2]
Lehecka J.[21]
6-46-4
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[2]
Zverev A.[3]
6-37-64
Lehecka J.[21]
Fils A.[28]
6-26-2
Quarter-finals
Fils A.[28]
Paul T.[22]
6-737-647-66
Lehecka J.[21]
Landaluce M.
7-617-5
Zverev A.[3]
Cerundolo F.[18]
6-16-2
Sinner J.[2]
Tiafoe F.[19]
6-26-2
R16
Zverev A.[3]
Halys Q.
7-647-61
Cerundolo F.[18]
Humbert U.[31]
6-46-3
Tiafoe F.[19]
Atmane T.
6-41-66-4
Landaluce M.
Korda S.[32]
2-67-666-4
Lehecka J.[21]
Fritz T.[6]
6-46-746-2
Fils A.[28]
Vacherot V.[24]
6-46-746-4
Paul T.[22]
Etcheverry T.[29]
6-16-3
Sinner J.[2]
Michelsen A.
7-57-64
R32
Paul T.[22]
Collignon R.
6-23-67-65
Landaluce M.
Khachanov K.[14]
6-37-62
Fils A.[28]
Tsitsipas S.
6-06-1
Halys Q.
Majchrzak K.
7-646-1
Sinner J.[2]
Moutet C.[30]
6-16-4
Korda S.[32]
Alcaraz C.[1]
6-35-76-4
Vacherot V.[24]
Berrettini M.
7-656-4
Lehecka J.[21]
Quinn E.
6-37-66
Michelsen A.
Tabilo A.
3-66-36-4
Cerundolo F.[18]
Medvedev D.[9]
6-04-67-5
Tiafoe F.[19]
Mensik J.[12]
7-644-67-611
Atmane T.
Auger Aliassime F.[7]
6-31-66-3
Fritz T.[6]
Opelka R.
6-36-4
Zverev A.[3]
Cilic M.
6-25-76-4
Etcheverry T.[29]
Jodar R.
7-56-4
Humbert U.[31]
Shevchenko A.
6-47-62
R64
Etcheverry T.[29]
Bergs Z.
7-657-63
Opelka R.
Draper J.[25]
7-637-60
Collignon R.
Cobolli F.[13]
7-56-3
Paul T.[22]
Mannarino A.
6-22-66-4
Shevchenko A.
Shelton B.[8]
6-737-636-3
Halys Q.
Davidovich Fokina A.[16]
7-686-4
Jodar R.
Vukic A.
6-16-2
Zverev A.[3]
Damm M.
6-26-4
Mensik J.[12]
Walton A.
3-66-26-4
Humbert U.[31]
Diallo G.
6-16-4
Korda S.[32]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-06-3
Cerundolo F.[18]
Tirante T.
6-46-2
Auger Aliassime F.[7]
Fucsovics M.
7-637-5
Lehecka J.[21]
Kouame M.
6-27-5
Majchrzak K.
Tien L.[20]
6-24-66-2
Fils A.[28]
Blanch D.
6-26-3
Vacherot V.[24]
Navone M.
6-36-4
Landaluce M.
Darderi L.[17]
6-36-746-4
Sinner J.[2]
Dzumhur D.
6-36-3
Tabilo A.
Rublev A.[15]
6-756-26-4
Berrettini M.
Bublik A.[10]
6-46-4
Quinn E.
Ruud C.[11]
6-47-67
Michelsen A.
Norrie C.[23]
7-56-746-4
Medvedev D.[9]
Sakamoto R.
6-7106-36-1
Khachanov K.[14]
Bautista Agut R.
6-36-3
Tiafoe F.[19]
Cazaux A.
7-616-1
Fritz T.[6]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-36-726-3
Tsitsipas S.
De Minaur A.[5]
6-37-63
Moutet C.[30]
Machac T.
6-01-66-4
Atmane T.
Rinderknech A.[26]
7-646-3
Cilic M.
Nakashima B.[27]
2-66-47-67
Alcaraz C.[1]
Fonseca J.
6-46-4
R128
Bautista Agut R.
Duckworth J.
7-637-64
Damm M.
Fearnley J.
6-00-0
Bergs Z.
Brooksby J.
7-56-2
Machac T.
Nava E.
2-66-46-1
Walton A.
Baez S.
6-26-2
Cazaux A.
Barrios Vera T.
7-56-4
Fucsovics M.
Oconnell C.
7-666-3
Navone M.
Basilashvili N.
7-676-3
Sakamoto R.
Kovacevic A.
6-43-67-67
Landaluce M.
Giron M.
6-37-66
Quinn E.
Hurkacz H.
6-26-4
Opelka R.
Borges N.
6-766-27-65
Berrettini M.
Muller A.
6-46-2
Tabilo A.
Comesana F.
6-46-2
Dzumhur D.
Buse I.
6-767-666-1
Diallo G.
Wu Y.
6-27-63
Tirante T.
Royer V.
7-56-797-65
Shevchenko A.
Arnaldi M.
7-656-756-2
Kouame M.
Svajda Z.
5-76-46-4
Blanch D.
Struff J.
6-33-66-3
Halys Q.
Draxl L.
6-746-16-1
Majchrzak K.
Kecmanovic M.
4-66-36-1
Atmane T.
Altmaier D.
6-46-2
Ugo Carabelli C.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
2-66-37-63
Collignon R.
Dimitrov G.
7-634-67-66
Tsitsipas S.
Fery A.
6-17-64
Van De Zandschulp B.
Shapovalov D.
7-56-3
Michelsen A.
Bellucci M.
6-26-1
Mannarino A.
Zhang Z.
6-36-2
Jodar R.
Hanfmann Y.
6-44-66-1
Cilic M.
Popyrin A.
6-46-4
Fonseca J.
Marozsan F.
6-43-66-2