Jack Draper vs Brandon NakashimaStuttgart Semi-final

Stuttgart · ATP · Semi-final
#131ATP
1822ELO
1704Grass ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 June 2024
grass
#31ATP
1839ELO
1757Grass ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Draper J.
6-3 6-3
Nakashima B.
Draper J.
662
Nakashima B.
330

Jack Draper defeated Brandon Nakashima 6-3 6-3 in the Stuttgart semi-final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31, but Jack Draper had been the form player, winning 3 of their last 4 on grass. Jack Draper extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-16Queen's ClubQFgrassJack Draper6-4 5-7 6-4
2022-11-07NextGen FinalsSFhardBrandon Nakashima4-3(6) 1-4 4-2 4-3(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Draper J.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Even
67%
68%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
66%
Aces / match·Even
8.2
8.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (107 vs 176). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
88
56
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
83
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
64
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2Grass Elo 1704
Surface ELO
4.8+53 Grass Elo edge
6.2Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1839
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
5.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.5
7.0
3-set count
0.0
Prev. match
6.0
3.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
84

Draper J.: 15 days rest · Nakashima B.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast