Jack Draper vs Brandon NakashimaQueen's Club Quarter-final

Queen's Club · ATP · Quarter-final
#145ATP
1822ELO
1704Grass ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 June 2025
grass
#32ATP
1839ELO
1757Grass ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Draper J.
6-4 5-7 6-4
Nakashima B.
Draper J.
6562
Nakashima B.
4741

Jack Draper defeated Brandon Nakashima 6-4 5-7 6-4 in the Queen's Club quarter-final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #32, defending last year's round of 16, but Jack Draper had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Jack Draper extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Jack Draper edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 5–7 6–4.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-10StuttgartSFgrassJack Draper6-3 6-3
2022-11-07NextGen FinalsSFhardBrandon Nakashima4-3(6) 1-4 4-2 4-3(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Draper J.serving95% hold

wins 75% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
68%
68%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
8.0
8.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (46 vs 82). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
88
56
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
83
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
64
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2Grass Elo 1704
Surface ELO
4.8+53 Grass Elo edge
6.2Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1839
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.6
Surface form
6.0
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.1
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.6
Country comfort
3.0
Surface transition
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
90

Draper J.: 18 days rest · Nakashima B.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 43%