Brandon Nakashima vs Jack DraperNextGen Finals Semi-final

NextGen Finals · ATP · Semi-final
#32ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 November 2022
hard
#145ATP
1822ELO
1783Hard ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWW
Nakashima B.
4-3 1-4 4-2 4-3
Draper J.
Nakashima B.
4814473
Draper J.
3642351

Brandon Nakashima defeated Jack Draper 4-3 1-4 4-2 4-3 in the NextGen Finals semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #32, defending last year's semi-final. Brandon Nakashima claimed a first win over Jack Draper in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-16Queen's ClubQFgrassJack Draper6-4 5-7 6-4
2024-06-10StuttgartSFgrassJack Draper6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Draper J.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.Draper J.
61
Serve
23
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
68%
67%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Even
66%
66%
Aces / match·Even
8.5
8.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.2
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
88
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
13
83
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7+5 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
6.3Hard Elo 1783
3.8Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1822
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
5.4
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
6.9
0.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
100

Nakashima B.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Draper J.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast