Jack Draper vs Brandon NakashimaBergamo CH Semi-final

Bergamo CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#145ATP
1822ELO
1783Hard ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 October 2023
hard
#32ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Draper J.
6-1 3-6 7-5
Nakashima B.
Draper J.
6372
Nakashima B.
1651

Jack Draper defeated Brandon Nakashima 6-1 3-6 7-5 in the Bergamo CH semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #32. Jack Draper extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Jack Draper came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 3–6 7–5.

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-16Queen's ClubQFgrassJack Draper6-4 5-7 6-4
2024-06-10StuttgartSFgrassJack Draper6-3 6-3
2022-11-07NextGen FinalsSFhardBrandon Nakashima4-3(6) 1-4 4-2 4-3(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Draper J.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Draper J.Nakashima B.
Serve
61
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
67%
68%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Even
64%
67%
Aces / match·Even
8.0
8.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (156 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
88
56
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
83
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
64
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3Hard Elo 1783
Surface ELO
3.7+5 Hard Elo edge
6.2Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1839
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.7
Surface form
4.1
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Minutes 14d
6.5
7.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
90

Draper J.: 18 days rest · Nakashima B.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast