Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova — London Quarter-final
London · WTA · Quarter-final
#42WTA
1806ELO
1694Grass ELO
$386kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLLWLLLW
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Sets
Friday, 12 June 2026 ·
grass
ANDY MURRAY ARENA · 5th on
Emma Raducanu faces Kamilla Rakhimova in the London quarter-final on grass. Emma Raducanu holds the paper edge — ranked #42, a roughly 70-point grass Elo advantage.
Key context
- Last match: Kamilla Rakhimova dropped the opening set before beating Harriet Dart 5–7 6–1 7–5.
- Last match: Emma Raducanu dropped just 6 games past Sorana Cirstea.
- Fatigue load: Kamilla Rakhimova carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTCRaducanu E.68%
Rakhimova K.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Raducanu E. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
5.9+74 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO4.1Grass Elo 1620
6.2Overall Elo 1806
ELO gap3.8Overall Elo 1702
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
7.37 of last 10 on grass
Surface form6.97 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
8.1Home country · 13/19 here
Country comfortContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
When it starts
5th on ANDY MURRAY ARENA · not before Not before 6:00 PM · 2 matches still to finish ahead
- 1Rybakina E. v Maria T.6-747-56-0
- 2Cirstea S. v Raducanu E.4-62-6
- 3Jovic I. v Anisimova A.Live6-23-5
- 4Rybakina E. v Boulter K.
- 5Raducanu E. v Rakhimova K.This match
Conditions
Weather forecast
21°CPartly cloudy
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 53%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form66%1st serve in+9%57%
63%1st serve points won+1%64%
43%2nd serve points won+3%46%
56%Service points won56%
44%Return points won+1%45%
60%Break points saved+5%55%
2.5Aces / match+0.81.7
3.1Double faults / match+2.35.4
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Draw
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
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