Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova

London · WTA · Round of 16

GBRWC

Harriet Dart

#160WTA

1620ELO

1552Grass ELO

29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLWLWLWWW

—

Sets

Thursday, 11 June 2026 · 10:00

grass

COURT 1 · 1st on

UZBLL

Kamilla Rakhimova

#78WTA

1702ELO

1620Grass ELO

24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LWLWLLLWLW

Harriet Dart faces Kamilla Rakhimova in the London round of 16 on grass. Kamilla Rakhimova holds the paper edge — ranked #78, a roughly 70-point grass Elo advantage.

Key context

Last match: Harriet Dart dropped the opening set before beating Liudmila Samsonova 5–7 6–4 6–3.
Fatigue load: Harriet Dart carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC

Dart H.34%

Rakhimova K.66%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Rakhimova K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Dart H.

6.1

Even matchUmpiry Score

Rakhimova K.

6.5

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

4.2Grass Elo 1552

Surface ELO

5.8+68 Grass Elo edge

4.7Overall Elo 1620

ELO gap

5.3Overall Elo 1702

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

3.74 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

6.97 of last 10 on grass

Fatigue & Travel

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

6.8Home country · 13/28 here

Country comfort

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast

13°CDrizzle

Wind 14 km/hHumidity 86%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form

Dart H.Rakhimova K.

55%1st serve in+2%57%

65%1st serve points won+1%64%

46%2nd serve points won46%

56%Service points won56%

49%Return points won+4%45%

49%Break points saved+6%55%

1.4Aces / match+0.31.7

3.1Double faults / match+2.35.4

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova — London Round of 16