Thomas Faurel vs Florent Bax — Lyon Round of 32

Lyon · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
FRAWC
Thomas Faurel
#318ATP
1321ELO
1279Clay ELO
20 yrs
Last 10
LWWWLLWWLW
1 — 1
Sets
Interrupted
Tuesday, 9 June 2026 ·
clay
Court 1 · 4th on
FRA
Florent Bax
#256ATP
1446ELO
1415Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWWWWL

Thomas Faurel faces Florent Bax in the Lyon round of 32 on clay. Florent Bax holds the paper edge — ranked #256, a roughly 140-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Surface form: Thomas Faurel 5 of 9, Florent Bax 6 of 9 on clay recently — Florent Bax the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Thomas Faurel carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Faurel T.27%
Bax F.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bax F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Faurel T.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Bax F.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Clay Elo 1279
Surface ELO
6.7+136 Clay Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1320
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1446
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.96 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.56 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
8.5Home country · 3/4 here
Country comfort
4.0Home country · 0/1 here
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Faurel T.
65621
Bax F.
77321

Conditions

Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 43%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Faurel T.Bax F.
63%1st serve in+7%56%
62%1st serve points won+16%78%
51%2nd serve points won+2%53%
58%Service points won+9%67%
40%Return points won+7%33%
57%Break points saved+6%63%
2.4Aces / match+57.4
2.2Double faults / match+1.23.4

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw