Mingge Xu vs Elizabeth Mandlik — Ilkley Round of 32

Ilkley · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
GBRWC
Mingge Xu
#286WTA
1420ELO
1356Grass ELO
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWLLLLL
1 — 1
Sets
Interrupted
Wednesday, 10 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 1 · 1st on
USA
Elizabeth Mandlik
#174WTA
1510ELO
1496Grass ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWLWWWL

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:21 UTC
Xu M.18%
Mandlik E.82%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Mandlik E. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Xu M.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Mandlik E.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.3Grass Elo 1356
Surface ELO
6.7+140 Grass Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1420
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1510
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.64 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.0Home country · 0/2 here
Country comfort
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Xu M.
6411
Mandlik E.
4641

Conditions

Weather
10°CDrizzle
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 82%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Xu M.Mandlik E.
56%1st serve in+4%60%
66%1st serve points won+8%58%
44%2nd serve points won+2%46%
56%Service points won+3%53%
43%Return points won+1%44%
52%Break points saved+7%45%
2.8Aces / match+1.41.4
5.1Double faults / match+0.44.7

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw