Filippo Romano vs Alastair Gray — Ilkley Qualifying Final

Ilkley · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
ITAQ
Filippo Romano
#355ATP
1436ELO
1418Grass ELO
20 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 1 · 2nd on
GBR
Alastair Gray
#269ATP
1407ELO
1372Grass ELO
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLWWWL

A decisive break in the first set settled it as Filippo Romano got past Alastair Gray 6-2 7-6 in the Ilkley qualifying final.

Key context

  • Pressure points: Filippo Romano converted 2 of 4 break points; Alastair Gray converted 0 of 1 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC
Romano F.39%
Gray A.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Gray A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Romano F.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Gray A.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.6+46 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Grass Elo 1372
5.4Overall Elo 1436
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1407
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.64 of last 5 on grass
Surface form
5.55 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
6.4Home country · 2/5 here
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Romano F.
6792
Gray A.
2670

Conditions

Weather
15°CPartly cloudy
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 53%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Romano F.Gray A.
64%1st serve in+1%63%
72%1st serve points won+2%74%
47%2nd serve points won+4%51%
63%Service points won+2%65%
37%Return points won37%
67%Break points saved+1%68%
5.3Aces / match+1.77
2.3Double faults / match+0.42.7

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw — qualifying