Mark Lajal vs Paul Jubb — Ilkley Qualifying Final
Ilkley · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
ESTLL#154ATP
1598ELO
1587Grass ELO
$55kYTD
$612kCAREER
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 8 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 5 · 2nd on
Paul Jubb edged the deciding set 7-6 to get past Mark Lajal in the Ilkley qualifying final.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:20 UTCLajal M.82%
Jubb P.18%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Lajal M. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
6.8+141 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO3.2Grass Elo 1445
7.2Overall Elo 1598
ELO gap2.8Overall Elo 1426
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H5.0First meeting on grass
6.97 of last 10 on grass
Surface form6.36 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
6.4Home country · 4/10 here
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Lajal M.
792651
Jubb P.
676772
Conditions
Weather
13°COvercast
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 68%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form61%1st serve in+1%62%
74%1st serve points won+9%65%
48%2nd serve points won+1%47%
64%Service points won+6%58%
37%Return points won+5%42%
69%Break points saved+13%56%
7.4Aces / match+3.93.5
3.2Double faults / match+1.44.6
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Draw — qualifying
Final
Lajal M.
Jubb P.
7-672-66-75
Jubb P.
Smith K.
Broom C.
Romano F.
Okonkwo O.
Stewart H.
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