Daniel Evans vs Charles Broom — Ilkley Qualifying Final

Ilkley · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final

GBR

Daniel Evans

#217ATP

1610ELO

1603Grass ELO

36 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WLLLLLWWLW

1 — 2

Sets

Monday, 8 June 2026 · 12:25

grass

COURT 1 · 1st on

GBRQ

Charles Broom

#279ATP

1434ELO

1420Grass ELO

28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WLWLLLLWWW

Charles Broom survived three match points to beat Daniel Evans in the Ilkley qualifying final.

Key context

Set 3, game 2: Charles Broom broke serve after a 15-point game with five deuces.
Comeback: Charles Broom recovered from a set deficit to win.
Pressure points: Daniel Evans converted 4 of 9 break points; Charles Broom converted 3 of 9 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:20 UTC

Evans D.71%

Broom C.29%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Evans D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Evans D.

5.8

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Broom C.

4.8

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

7.3+184 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

2.7Grass Elo 1420

7.2Overall Elo 1610

ELO gap

2.8Overall Elo 1434

3.0Trails 0–1 on grass

H2H

7.0Leads 1–0 on grass

6.87 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

4.74 of last 10 on grass

Fatigue & Travel

6.5Home country · 17/40 here

Country comfort

6.4Home country · 2/5 here

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Evans D.

66⁷31

Broom C.

27⁹62