Daniel Evans vs James Watt — Ilkley Qualifying Semi-final

Ilkley · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
GBR
Daniel Evans
#205ATP
1610ELO
1603Grass ELO
36 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 7 June 2026 ·
grass
CENTRE COURT · 2nd on
NZLALT
James Watt
#717ATP
1348ELO
1407Grass ELO
25 yrs · 206 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWLW

Daniel Evans won five games in a row to see off James Watt 6-4 6-2 in the Ilkley qualifying semi-final.

Key context

  • Set 2, game 3: Daniel Evans broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Daniel Evans converted 4 of 11 break points; James Watt converted 1 of 2 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:21 UTC
Evans D.80%
Watt J.20%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Evans D. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Evans D.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Watt J.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.5+196 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Grass Elo 1407
8.3Overall Elo 1610
ELO gap
1.7Overall Elo 1348
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.67 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.55 of last 8 on grass
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
7.0Hard → Grass
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Evans D.
662
Watt J.
420

Conditions

Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 61%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Evans D.Watt J.
57%1st serve in+13%70%
72%1st serve points won72%
47%2nd serve points won+4%51%
61%Service points won+5%66%
38%Return points won+4%34%
54%Break points saved+6%60%
4.3Aces / match+4.28.5
3.5Double faults / match+1.32.2

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw — qualifying