Quinn Vandecasteele vs Charles Broom — Ilkley Qualifying Semi-final

Ilkley · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
USA
Quinn Vandecasteele
#468ATP
1397ELO
1382Grass ELO
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 7 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 3 · 2nd on
GBRQ
Charles Broom
#279ATP
1434ELO
1420Grass ELO
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLLLWWW

Charles Broom won five games in a row to see off Quinn Vandecasteele 6-3 6-1 in the Ilkley qualifying semi-final.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 3: Charles Broom broke serve.
  • Set 2, game 4: Charles Broom broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Quinn Vandecasteele converted 0 of 2 break points; Charles Broom converted 4 of 7 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:21 UTC
Vandecasteele Q.43%
Broom C.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Vandecasteele Q.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Broom C.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Grass Elo 1382
Surface ELO
5.5+38 Grass Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1397
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1434
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
3.73 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Hard → Grass
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Vandecasteele Q.
310
Broom C.
662

Conditions

Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 61%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Vandecasteele Q.Broom C.
57%1st serve in+6%63%
71%1st serve points won+5%76%
49%2nd serve points won+5%54%
61%Service points won+7%68%
41%Return points won+4%37%
59%Break points saved59%
5.7Aces / match+2.38
3.7Double faults / match+2.11.6

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw — qualifying