Kimberly Birrell vs Jessica PegulaRoland Garros Round of 128

Roland Garros · WTA · Round of 128
#65WTA
1754ELO
1536Clay ELO
28 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 26 May 2026 ·
clay
Court Simonne-Mathieu · 4th on
#3WTA
2097ELO
1941Clay ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Birrell K.
1-6 6-3 6-3
Pegula J.
Birrell K.
1662
Pegula J.
6331

Kimberly Birrell defeated Jessica Pegula 1-6 6-3 6-3 in the Roland Garros round of 128 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Kimberly Birrell claimed a first win over Jessica Pegula in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-07CincinnatiR64hardJessica Pegula6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Birrell K.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Pegula J.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Birrell K.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Birrell K.Pegula J.
Serve
67
Return
22

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
63%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.7
4.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.4
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
65
96
Break points saved·Clear edge
77
96
Break points won·Clear edge
83
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
65
100
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
77
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.0Clay Elo 1512
Surface ELO
10.0+449 Clay Elo edge
0.6Overall Elo 1752
ELO gap
9.4Overall Elo 2102
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.62 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.68 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
95
79

Birrell K.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Pegula J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 33%
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Birrell K.
Pegula J.[5]
1-66-36-3