Jessica Pegula vs Kimberly BirrellCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 64
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025
hard
#72WTA
1754ELO
1752Hard ELO
28 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWL
Pegula J.
6-4 6-3
Birrell K.
Pegula J.
662
Birrell K.
430

Jessica Pegula defeated Kimberly Birrell 6-4 6-3 in the Cincinnati round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, defending last year's final. Jessica Pegula claimed a first win over Kimberly Birrell in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-26Roland GarrosR128clayKimberly Birrell1-6 6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Birrell K.

Birrell K.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Birrell K.
68
Serve
22
73
Return
43

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
44%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 88). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
96
65
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
77
Break points won·Clear edge
99
83
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
65
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.7+307 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.3Hard Elo 1752
9.1Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
0.9Overall Elo 1754
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
5.4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
9.1
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
8.1
Country comfort
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
94

Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Birrell K.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw