Elena Rybakina vs Jessica PegulaMiami Semi-final

Miami · WTA · Semi-final
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 30 March 2023 ·
hard
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Rybakina E.
7-6 6-4
Pegula J.
Rybakina E.
7762
Pegula J.
6340

Elena Rybakina defeated Jessica Pegula 7-6 6-4 in the Miami semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 6–4, defending last year's round of 32. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 7–4.

Key context

Head to head

64
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian WellsQFhardElena Rybakina6-1 7-6
2026-01-19Australian OpenSFhardElena Rybakina6-3 7-6
2025-11-07WTA FinalsSFhardElena Rybakina4-6 6-4 6-3
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsSFhardElena Rybakina4-6 6-4 6-3
2025-09-19BJK Cup FinalsRRhardElena Rybakina6-4 6-1
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardJessica Pegula7-5 6-2
2023-03-20MiamiSFhardElena Rybakina7-6 6-4
2022-10-17Guadalajara 2R32hardJessica Pegula2-6 6-3 7-6
2022-03-27MiamiR32hardJessica Pegula6-3 6-4
2022-03-21MiamiR32hardJessica Pegula6-3 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.9
3.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
95
90
Break points saved·Clear edge
89
76
Break points won·Slight edge
92
97
Deciding sets·Even
94
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
82

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Pegula J.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast

Draw