Daria Kasatkina vs Paula BadosaAdelaide 2 Semi-final

Adelaide 2 · WTA · Semi-final
#65WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Sets
Walkover
Monday, 9 January 2023
hard
#141WTA
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
Kasatkina D.
vs
Badosa P.

Daria Kasatkina advanced past Paula Badosa via walkover in the Adelaide 2 semi-final. Daria Kasatkina extended the head-to-head to 5–3.

Head to head

43
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR32clayDaria Kasatkina6-1 7-5
2024-10-14NingboSFhardDaria Kasatkina6-4 0-0 RET
2024-07-01WimbledonR32grassPaula Badosa7-6(6) 4-6 6-4
2023-04-17StuttgartR32clayPaula Badosa6-1 6-1
2022-08-01San JoseSFhardDaria Kasatkina6-2 6-4
2022-05-09RomeR16clayDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-4
2022-01-10SydneySFhardPaula Badosa6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Badosa P.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kasatkina D.Badosa P.
0
Serve
21
95
Return
19

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
70%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
59%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.5
4.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.7
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (185 vs 132). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
93
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
95
Break points won·Slight edge
100
94
Deciding sets·Even
93
95
Tiebreaks·Dominant
47
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+10 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1748
5.5Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1780
5.4
H2H
4.6
3.6
Surface form
3.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.5
Minutes 14d
8.2
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
90
58

Kasatkina D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 98 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast