Andrey Rublev vs Alexander Bublik — Moscow Round of 32

Moscow · ATP · Round of 32
Andrey Rublev
RUS6
Andrey Rublev
#16ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 October 2019
hard
Alexander Bublik
KAZ
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Rublev A.
6-1 3-6 6-4
Bublik A.
Rublev A.
6362
Bublik A.
1641

Andrey Rublev defeated Alexander Bublik 6-1 3-6 6-4 in the Moscow round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, defending last year's round of 32. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 5–4.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrey Rublev came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 3–6 6–4.

Head to head

4–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR32clayAlexander Bublik6-4 0-6 6-4
2025-02-17DohaR32hardAndrey Rublev6-3 6-4
2024-02-26DubaiSFhardAlexander Bublik6-7(4) 7-6(5) 6-5 DEF
2023-07-03WimbledonR16grassAndrey Rublev7-5 6-3 6-7(6) 6-7(5) 6-4
2023-06-19HalleFgrassAlexander Bublik6-3 3-6 6-3
2020-02-10RotterdamR16hardAndrey Rublev7-5 6-3
2019-10-21ViennaR32hardAndrey Rublev6-1 6-7(3) 7-6(6)
2016-10-17MoscowQ1hardAlexander Bublik6-4 7-6(10)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Bublik A.
55
Serve
65
49
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rublev A.Bublik A.
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
46%
Service points won·Even
67%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Even
66%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
11.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rublev A.Bublik A.
Clutch Rating·Even
88
88
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Slight edge
72
67
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Even
92
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Rublev A.Bublik A.
Freshness·Clear edge
100
78

Rublev A.: 15 days rest · Bublik A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Rublev A.[6]
Mannarino A.[7]
6-46-0
Semi-finals
Rublev A.[6]
Cilic M.[3]
7-56-4
Mannarino A.[7]
Seppi A.
6-36-4
Quarter-finals
Cilic M.[3]
Chardy J.
6-44-67-62
Rublev A.[6]
Milojevic N.
6-26-3
Mannarino A.[7]
Lajovic D.[4]
7-636-1
Seppi A.
Khachanov K.[2]
3-66-36-3
R16
Cilic M.[3]
Karlovic I.
6-17-65
Chardy J.
Kecmanovic M.[8]
6-36-4
Mannarino A.[7]
Kukushkin M.
7-646-2
Lajovic D.[4]
Rosol L.
6-46-766-3
Khachanov K.[2]
Kohlschreiber P.
3-66-37-67
Seppi A.
Carballes Baena R.
5-76-16-3
Milojevic N.
Avidzba A.
7-56-0
Rublev A.[6]
Gerasimov E.
7-636-766-2
R32
Rublev A.[6]
Bublik A.
6-13-66-4
Avidzba A.
Kachmazov A.
6-14-66-1
Gerasimov E.
Fabbiano T.
6-36-4
Mannarino A.[7]
Dzumhur D.
7-626-0
Kukushkin M.
Donskoy E.
6-46-3
Carballes Baena R.
Berankis R.
6-24-66-3
Kohlschreiber P.
Herbert P.
6-37-63
Kecmanovic M.[8]
Dubrivnyy A.
6-17-5
Chardy J.
Jarry N.
6-46-2
Rosol L.
Londero J.
6-747-676-3
Karlovic I.
Bedene A.
6-46-757-66
Seppi A.
Garin C.[5]
3-67-627-64