Alexander Bublik vs Andrey Rublev — Moscow Qualifying Round 1
Moscow · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 October 2016
hard
RUS4#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Bublik A.6-4 7-6
Rublev A.
Bublik A.
67122
Rublev A.
46100
Alexander Bublik defeated Andrey Rublev 6-4 7-6 in the Moscow qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in leading the head-to-head 5–3, defending last year's round of 32. Alexander Bublik narrowed the head-to-head to 5–4.
Key context
- Match story: Alexander Bublik edged Andrey Rublev in two tight sets (6–4 7–6).
Head to head
3–5| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | R32 | clay | Alexander Bublik | 6-4 0-6 6-4 |
| 2025-02-17 | Doha | R32 | hard | Andrey Rublev | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-02-26 | Dubai | SF | hard | Alexander Bublik | 6-7(4) 7-6(5) 6-5 DEF |
| 2023-07-03 | Wimbledon | R16 | grass | Andrey Rublev | 7-5 6-3 6-7(6) 6-7(5) 6-4 |
| 2023-06-19 | Halle | F | grass | Alexander Bublik | 6-3 3-6 6-3 |
| 2020-02-10 | Rotterdam | R16 | hard | Andrey Rublev | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2019-10-21 | Vienna | R32 | hard | Andrey Rublev | 6-1 6-7(3) 7-6(6) |
| 2019-10-14 | Moscow | R32 | hard | Andrey Rublev | 6-1 3-6 6-4 |
Serve vs return
This seasonServe-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Serve & return on hard
Bublik A.Rublev A.
65
Serve
55
25
Return
52
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
67%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.1
7.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
2.5
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast