Andrey Rublev vs Alexander BublikDoha Round of 32

Doha · ATP · Round of 32
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 February 2025
hard
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Rublev A.
6-3 6-4
Bublik A.
Rublev A.
662
Bublik A.
340

Andrey Rublev defeated Alexander Bublik 6-3 6-4 in the Doha round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, defending last year's quarter-final. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 5–4.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrey Rublev closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

44
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR32clayAlexander Bublik6-4 0-6 6-4
2024-02-26DubaiSFhardAlexander Bublik6-7(4) 7-6(5) 6-5 DEF
2023-07-03WimbledonR16grassAndrey Rublev7-5 6-3 6-7(6) 6-7(5) 6-4
2023-06-19HalleFgrassAlexander Bublik6-3 3-6 6-3
2020-02-10RotterdamR16hardAndrey Rublev7-5 6-3
2019-10-21ViennaR32hardAndrey Rublev6-1 6-7(3) 7-6(6)
2019-10-14MoscowR32hardAndrey Rublev6-1 3-6 6-4
2016-10-17MoscowQ1hardAlexander Bublik6-4 7-6(10)

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Bublik A.
55
Serve
65
52
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
66%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
64%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.5
10.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (80 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
89
88
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Slight edge
72
67
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Even
92
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8+12 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.2Hard Elo 1837
4.5Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1889
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.8
Surface form
3.2
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Minutes 14d
7.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
94
70

Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Bublik A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CRain
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 77%