Alexander Bublik vs Andrey Rublev — Madrid Masters Round of 32

Madrid Masters · ATP · Round of 32
KAZ
Alexander Bublik
#10ATP
1920ELO
1851Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 23 April 2025
clay
RUS
Andrey Rublev
[7]
#13ATP
1905ELO
1868Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$33MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLL

Alexander Bublik defeated Andrey Rublev 6-4 0-6 6-4 in the Madrid Masters round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in leading the head-to-head 5–3, defending the title. Alexander Bublik narrowed the head-to-head to 5–4.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bublik A.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Rublev A.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3Clay Elo 1851
Surface ELO
4.7+17 Clay Elo edge
5.5Overall Elo 1920
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1905
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.0
Surface form
5.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
8.2
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
5.9
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Bublik A.
6062
Rublev A.
4641

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
0.84
SlowFast
Weather
15°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 59%

Head to head

3–5
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-17DohaR32hardAndrey Rublev6-3 6-4
2024-02-26DubaiSFhardAlexander Bublik6-7(4) 7-6(5) 6-5 DEF
2023-07-03WimbledonR16grassAndrey Rublev7-5 6-3 6-7(6) 6-7(5) 6-4
2023-06-19HalleFgrassAlexander Bublik6-3 3-6 6-3
2020-02-10RotterdamR16hardAndrey Rublev7-5 6-3
2019-10-21ViennaR32hardAndrey Rublev6-1 6-7(3) 7-6(6)
2019-10-14MoscowR32hardAndrey Rublev6-1 3-6 6-4
2016-10-17MoscowQ1hardAlexander Bublik6-4 7-6(10)
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Bublik A.Rublev A.
64%1st serve in+3%61%
75%1st serve points won+1%74%
52%2nd serve points won+2%50%
67%Service points won+2%65%
33%Return points won+6%39%
65%Break points saved+1%66%
9.7Aces / match+3.76
3.2Double faults / match+0.62.6

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Ruud C.[14]
Draper J.[5]
7-53-66-4
Semi-finals
Draper J.[5]
Musetti L.[10]
6-37-64
Ruud C.[14]
Cerundolo F.[20]
6-47-5
Quarter-finals
Draper J.[5]
Arnaldi M.
6-06-4
Ruud C.[14]
Medvedev D.[9]
6-37-5
Cerundolo F.[20]
Mensik J.[22]
3-67-656-2
Musetti L.[10]
Diallo G.
6-46-3
R16
Ruud C.[14]
Fritz T.[3]
7-56-4
Draper J.[5]
Paul T.[11]
6-26-2
Mensik J.[22]
Bublik A.
6-36-2
Arnaldi M.
Tiafoe F.[16]
6-37-5
Medvedev D.[9]
Nakashima B.[31]
3-66-16-4
Diallo G.
Dimitrov G.[15]
5-77-676-4
Musetti L.[10]
De Minaur A.[6]
6-46-2
Cerundolo F.[20]
Zverev A.[1]
7-56-3
R32
Fritz T.[3]
Bonzi B.
4-67-50-0
De Minaur A.[6]
Shapovalov D.[29]
6-37-63
Nakashima B.[31]
Cobolli F.
7-56-3
Paul T.[11]
Khachanov K.[24]
6-33-66-2
Medvedev D.[9]
Cerundolo J.
6-26-2
Mensik J.[22]
Shelton B.[12]
6-16-4
Musetti L.[10]
Tsitsipas S.[17]
7-57-63
Ruud C.[14]
Korda S.[23]
6-36-3
Dimitrov G.[15]
Fearnley J.
6-47-63
Cerundolo F.[20]
Comesana F.
6-46-4
Bublik A.
Rublev A.[7]
6-40-66-4
Tiafoe F.[16]
Muller A.
6-36-3
Diallo G.
Norrie C.
2-66-46-4
Draper J.[5]
Berrettini M.[30]
7-620-0
Arnaldi M.
Dzumhur D.
6-36-4
Zverev A.[1]
Davidovich Fokina A.[28]
2-67-637-60
R64
Cerundolo F.[20]
Mayot H.
6-36-4
Nakashima B.[31]
Ofner S.
6-37-63
Korda S.[23]
Cina F.
6-33-66-1
Draper J.[5]
Griekspoor T.
6-36-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[28]
Borges N.
6-26-3
Dimitrov G.[15]
Jarry N.
6-36-4
Zverev A.[1]
Bautista Agut R.
6-26-2
Tsitsipas S.[17]
Struff J.
3-66-46-3
Bonzi B.
Hurkacz H.[27]
6-47-5
Paul T.[11]
Fonseca J.
7-677-63
Berrettini M.[30]
Giron M.
6-737-666-1
Arnaldi M.
Djokovic N.[4]
6-36-4
Khachanov K.[24]
Opelka R.
7-637-64
Shelton B.[12]
Navone M.
4-67-656-3
Fearnley J.
Machac T.[19]
1-66-36-2
Ruud C.[14]
Rinderknech A.
6-36-4
Musetti L.[10]
Etcheverry T.
7-636-2
Shapovalov D.[29]
Nishikori K.
6-16-4
Fritz T.[3]
Oconnell C.
6-16-4
Medvedev D.[9]
Djere L.
W/O
Dzumhur D.
Baez S.[32]
1-66-16-2
Norrie C.
Lehecka J.[26]
2-66-46-0
Cerundolo J.
Auger Aliassime F.[18]
7-656-4
Mensik J.[22]
Quinn E.
7-646-1
Rublev A.[7]
Monfils G.
W/O
Bublik A.
Popyrin A.[25]
6-47-64
Comesana F.
Fils A.[13]
7-646-4
Muller A.
Humbert U.[21]
6-26-737-65
Cobolli F.
Rune H.[8]
6-20-0
Diallo G.
Majchrzak K.
7-54-66-4
Tiafoe F.[16]
Darderi L.
7-53-1
De Minaur A.[6]
Sonego L.
6-26-3
R128
Oconnell C.
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-36-4
Griekspoor T.
Kopriva V.
6-16-4
Muller A.
Goffin D.
6-33-61-0
Dzumhur D.
Bellucci M.
4-66-46-2
Etcheverry T.
Medjedovic H.
6-46-746-4
Rinderknech A.
Safiullin R.
7-646-1
Fearnley J.
Yunchaokete B.
6-37-62
Ofner S.
Gaston H.
6-46-3
Borges N.
Carreno Busta P.
6-777-636-3
Sonego L.
Kecmanovic M.
6-47-65
Bublik A.
Michelsen A.
7-627-64
Quinn E.
Lajovic D.
6-36-4
Monfils G.
Gojo B.
1-66-26-4
Djere L.
Fognini F.
6-26-3
Darderi L.
Halys Q.
6-46-4
Comesana F.
Martinez P.
6-46-4
Fonseca J.
Moller E.
6-26-3
Norrie C.
Landaluce M.
6-747-56-4
Navone M.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-46-4
Bautista Agut R.
Munar J.
6-42-66-3
Cina F.
Wong C.
7-656-1
Opelka R.
Hijikata R.
7-57-5
Cerundolo J.
Kovacevic A.
3-67-56-2
Diallo G.
Bergs Z.
6-16-2
Mayot H.
Moutet C.
6-34-2
Cobolli F.
Marozsan F.
7-647-5
Struff J.
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-52-64-1
Jarry N.
Altmaier D.
6-36-2
Bonzi B.
Cilic M.
6-36-2
Nishikori K.
Vukic A.
6-43-66-3
Giron M.
Tien L.
6-11-67-64
Arnaldi M.
Coric B.
4-66-47-5