Andrey Rublev vs Alexander Bublik — Wimbledon Round of 16

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 16
Andrey Rublev
RUS12
Andrey Rublev
#13ATP
1902ELO
1784Grass ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 3 July 2023
grass
Alexander Bublik
KAZ10
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1802Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Rublev A.
7-5 6-3 6-7 6-7 6-4
Bublik A.
Rublev A.
76666563
Bublik A.
53787742

Andrey Rublev defeated Alexander Bublik 7-5 6-3 6-7 6-7 6-4 in the Wimbledon round of 16 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, defending last year's round of 32. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 5–4.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrey Rublev closed it out in five sets, 7–5 6–3 6–7 6–7 6–4.

Head to head

4–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR32clayAlexander Bublik6-4 0-6 6-4
2025-02-17DohaR32hardAndrey Rublev6-3 6-4
2024-02-26DubaiSFhardAlexander Bublik6-7(4) 7-6(5) 6-5 DEF
2023-06-19HalleFgrassAlexander Bublik6-3 3-6 6-3
2020-02-10RotterdamR16hardAndrey Rublev7-5 6-3
2019-10-21ViennaR32hardAndrey Rublev6-1 6-7(3) 7-6(6)
2019-10-14MoscowR32hardAndrey Rublev6-1 3-6 6-4
2016-10-17MoscowQ1hardAlexander Bublik6-4 7-6(10)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Rublev A.Bublik A.
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
46%
Service points won·Even
67%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Even
65%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.8
10.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
5.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 194). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rublev A.Bublik A.
Clutch Rating·Even
88
88
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Slight edge
72
67
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Even
92
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rublev A.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Bublik A.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.5Grass Elo 1784
Surface ELO
5.5+18 Grass Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1889
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.9
Surface form
9.2
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.8
Minutes 14d
5.6
0.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
5.3
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rublev A.Bublik A.
Freshness·Clear edge
94
70

Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Bublik A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
18°CDrizzle
Wind 27 km/hHumidity 55%
Final
Alcaraz C.[1]
Djokovic N.[7]
1-67-666-13-66-4
Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Medvedev D.[8]
6-36-36-3
Djokovic N.[7]
Sinner J.[1]
6-36-47-64
Quarter-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Safiullin R.
6-43-66-26-2
Djokovic N.[7]
Rublev A.[12]
4-66-16-46-3
Medvedev D.[8]
Eubanks C.
6-41-64-67-646-1
Alcaraz C.[1]
Rune H.[6]
7-636-46-4
R16
Safiullin R.
Shapovalov D.[26]
3-66-36-16-3
Sinner J.[1]
Galan D.
7-646-46-3
Rublev A.[12]
Bublik A.[10]
7-56-36-766-756-4
Djokovic N.[7]
Hurkacz H.[17]
7-667-665-76-4
Rune H.[6]
Dimitrov G.
3-67-667-646-3
Medvedev D.[8]
Lehecka J.[13]
6-46-2
Eubanks C.
Tsitsipas S.[5]
3-67-643-66-46-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Berrettini M.
3-66-36-36-3
R32
Eubanks C.
Oconnell C.
7-657-637-62
Safiullin R.
Pella G.
7-616-46-0
Rune H.[6]
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
6-34-63-66-47-68
Sinner J.[1]
Halys Q.
3-66-26-36-4
Rublev A.[12]
Goffin D.
6-36-767-656-2
Bublik A.[10]
Marterer M.
6-46-17-64
Djokovic N.[7]
Wawrinka S.
6-36-17-65
Lehecka J.[13]
Paul T.[21]
6-27-626-756-796-2
Medvedev D.[8]
Fucsovics M.
4-66-36-46-4
Dimitrov G.
Tiafoe F.[17]
6-26-36-2
Alcaraz C.[1]
Jarry N.[25]
6-36-766-37-5
Berrettini M.
Zverev A.[2]
6-37-647-65
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Djere L.
6-47-656-4
Galan D.
Ymer M.
6-26-727-653-66-1
Shapovalov D.[26]
Broady L.
4-66-27-57-5
Hurkacz H.[17]
Musetti L.[14]
7-646-46-4
R64
Tiafoe F.[17]
Stricker D.
7-6116-46-2
Safiullin R.
Moutet C.
7-56-37-64
Zverev A.[2]
Watanuki Y.
6-45-76-26-2
Berrettini M.
De Minaur A.[5]
6-36-46-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-12-66-46-3
Lehecka J.[13]
Cerundolo F.[18]
6-26-26-2
Paul T.[21]
Raonic M.
6-47-646-746-4
Eubanks C.
Norrie C.[26]
6-33-66-27-63
Djere L.
Shelton B.[4]
3-66-37-656-3
Sinner J.[1]
Schwartzman D.
7-56-16-2
Ymer M.
Fritz T.[6]
3-62-66-36-46-2
Djokovic N.[7]
Thompson J.
6-37-647-5
Medvedev D.[8]
Mannarino A.
6-36-37-65
Oconnell C.
Vesely J.
6-37-56-4
Galan D.
Otte O.
6-33-66-37-63
Musetti L.[14]
Munar J.
6-46-36-1
Jarry N.[25]
Kubler J.
7-55-76-36-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Muller A.
6-47-626-3
Dimitrov G.
Ivashka I.
6-36-46-4
Rune H.[6]
Carballes Baena R.
6-37-636-4
Fucsovics M.
Giron M.
7-626-34-66-4
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Murray A.
7-636-724-67-636-4
Halys Q.
Vukic A.
6-36-16-4
Pella G.
Mayot H.
2-66-37-637-5
Shapovalov D.[26]
Barrere G.
6-36-47-67
Broady L.
Ruud C.[11]
6-43-64-66-36-0
Rublev A.[12]
Karatsev A.
6-746-36-47-5
Goffin D.
Barrios Vera T.[20]
7-635-76-26-0
Bublik A.[10]
Wolf J.
6-37-656-0
Marterer M.
Mmoh M.
7-57-656-4
Wawrinka S.
Etcheverry T.[29]
6-34-66-46-2
Hurkacz H.[17]
Choinski J.
6-46-47-63
R128
Barrios Vera T.[20]
Baez S.
7-673-66-37-62
Choinski J.
Lajovic D.
5-77-646-26-2
Djere L.
Cressy M.
6-757-637-687-67
Vesely J.
Korda S.[22]
7-674-66-26-3
Raonic M.
Novak D.
6-756-47-656-1
Safiullin R.
Bautista Agut R.[20]
2-67-676-746-47-5
Bublik A.[10]
Mcdonald M.
6-736-46-46-4
Muller A.
Rinderknech A.[25]
7-651-66-36-4
Kubler J.
Humbert U.[27]
6-44-66-23-66-3
Zverev A.[2]
Brouwer G.
6-47-647-65
De Minaur A.[5]
Coppejans K.
6-756-36-37-62
Dimitrov G.
Shimabukuro S.
6-16-26-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Fils A.[20]
7-636-16-2
Carballes Baena R.
Arnaldi M.[32]
6-706-36-46-4
Medvedev D.[8]
Fery A.
7-56-46-3
Lehecka J.[13]
Ofner S.
6-46-46-4
Paul T.[21]
Mochizuki S.
7-56-36-1
Norrie C.[26]
Machac T.
6-34-66-16-4
Fritz T.[6]
Hanfmann Y.
6-42-64-67-56-3
Djokovic N.[7]
Cachin P.
6-36-37-64
Shelton B.[4]
Daniel T.
6-46-33-64-66-3
Thompson J.
Nakashima B.[28]
2-62-66-47-646-3
Ruud C.[11]
Lokoli L.
6-15-76-46-3
Mayot H.
Bonzi B.
6-36-47-5
Stricker D.
Popyrin A.
3-66-36-24-67-5
Alcaraz C.[1]
Chardy J.
6-06-27-5
Jarry N.[25]
Cecchinato M.
4-66-26-46-1
Watanuki Y.
Huesler M.
6-755-77-657-636-3
Berrettini M.
Sonego L.
6-756-37-676-3
Tiafoe F.[17]
Wu Y.
7-646-36-4
Ivashka I.
Coria F.
4-66-46-36-0
Van De Zandschulp B.
Zhang Z.
2-67-637-663-66-2
Rune H.[6]
Loffhagen G.
7-646-36-2
Mannarino A.
Shevchenko A.
6-36-36-2
Giron M.
Dellien H.
7-626-46-4
Fucsovics M.
Griekspoor T.[28]
6-46-26-4
Cerundolo F.[18]
Borges N.
5-76-36-36-4
Eubanks C.
Monteiro T.
4-67-57-56-3
Oconnell C.
Medjedovic H.
7-56-44-66-4
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Thiem D.
3-67-616-26-757-68
Sinner J.[1]
Cerundolo J.
6-26-26-2
Schwartzman D.
Kecmanovic M.
6-06-36-4
Vukic A.
Altmaier D.
6-37-613-67-5
Halys Q.
Evans D.[27]
6-26-36-756-4
Galan D.
Nishioka Y.[24]
6-46-36-3
Otte O.
Koepfer D.
7-56-37-69
Ymer M.
Molcan A.
6-36-36-4
Pella G.
Coric B.[13]
6-37-54-63-66-1
Moutet C.
Gasquet R.
6-37-57-5
Shapovalov D.[26]
Albot R.
5-76-46-26-2
Barrere G.
Harris L.
7-56-747-56-3
Broady L.
Lestienne C.
6-16-37-5
Rublev A.[12]
Purcell M.
6-37-56-4
Karatsev A.
Van Assche L.
6-746-46-26-4
Goffin D.
Marozsan F.
6-25-76-26-0
Wolf J.
Couacaud E.
7-56-37-64
Marterer M.
Gojo B.
7-56-786-36-4
Mmoh M.
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
7-646-747-646-4
Musetti L.[14]
Varillas J.
6-36-17-5
Munar J.
Isner J.
4-66-36-46-4
Etcheverry T.[29]
Zapata Miralles B.
6-755-76-36-47-5
Wawrinka S.
Ruusuvuori E.
7-57-56-4
Hurkacz H.[17]
Ramos A.
6-16-46-4
Murray A.
Peniston R.
6-36-06-1