Andrey Rublev vs Alexander Bublik — Rotterdam Round of 16

Rotterdam · ATP · Round of 16
Andrey Rublev
RUS7
Andrey Rublev
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 February 2020
hard
Alexander Bublik
KAZ
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Rublev A.
7-5 6-3
Bublik A.
Rublev A.
762
Bublik A.
530

Andrey Rublev defeated Alexander Bublik 7-5 6-3 in the Rotterdam round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 5–4.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrey Rublev closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.

Head to head

4–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR32clayAlexander Bublik6-4 0-6 6-4
2025-02-17DohaR32hardAndrey Rublev6-3 6-4
2024-02-26DubaiSFhardAlexander Bublik6-7(4) 7-6(5) 6-5 DEF
2023-07-03WimbledonR16grassAndrey Rublev7-5 6-3 6-7(6) 6-7(5) 6-4
2023-06-19HalleFgrassAlexander Bublik6-3 3-6 6-3
2019-10-21ViennaR32hardAndrey Rublev6-1 6-7(3) 7-6(6)
2019-10-14MoscowR32hardAndrey Rublev6-1 3-6 6-4
2016-10-17MoscowQ1hardAlexander Bublik6-4 7-6(10)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Bublik A.
55
Serve
65
52
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rublev A.Bublik A.
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
46%
Service points won·Even
67%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Even
66%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
11.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rublev A.Bublik A.
Clutch Rating·Even
88
88
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Slight edge
72
67
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Even
92
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Rublev A.Bublik A.
Freshness·Clear edge
94
70

Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Bublik A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
8°CMainly clear
Wind 44 km/hHumidity 59%
Final
Monfils G.[3]
Auger Aliassime F.
6-26-4
Semi-finals
Monfils G.[3]
Krajinovic F.
6-47-65
Auger Aliassime F.
Carreno Busta P.
7-626-4
Quarter-finals
Krajinovic F.
Rublev A.[7]
7-626-4
Monfils G.[3]
Evans D.
7-656-2
Carreno Busta P.
Sinner J.
7-53-67-66
Auger Aliassime F.
Bedene A.
6-47-66
R16
Monfils G.[3]
Simon G.
6-46-1
Evans D.
Khachanov K.
4-66-36-4
Carreno Busta P.
Bautista Agut R.[6]
6-42-67-64
Sinner J.
Goffin D.[4]
7-677-5
Auger Aliassime F.
Dimitrov G.
6-46-2
Bedene A.
Tsitsipas S.[2]
7-56-4
Krajinovic F.
Pospisil V.
6-47-67
Rublev A.[7]
Bublik A.
7-56-3
R32
Pospisil V.
Medvedev D.[1]
6-46-3
Krajinovic F.
Griekspoor T.
6-46-1
Bublik A.
Barrere G.
6-36-726-4
Rublev A.[7]
Basilashvili N.
6-26-3
Monfils G.[3]
Sousa J.
6-36-2
Simon G.
Kukushkin M.
7-633-66-3
Evans D.
Kohlschreiber P.
6-37-5
Khachanov K.
Fognini F.[5]
6-36-3
Auger Aliassime F.
Struff J.
6-31-66-3
Bedene A.
Paire B.
6-26-4
Tsitsipas S.[2]
Hurkacz H.
6-726-36-1
Bautista Agut R.[6]
Fucsovics M.
4-67-616-1
Sinner J.
Albot R.
W/O
Carreno Busta P.
Mannarino A.
7-56-736-4
Goffin D.[4]
Haase R.
3-67-656-4
Dimitrov G.
Shapovalov D.[8]
6-37-63