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Ben Shelton vs Arthur Fils — Tour Finals Round Robin

Tour FinalsRound RobinHardSun 15 Nov · 20:30
VSSlight edge · Shelton B.
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Shelton B.
60%40%

Shelton B. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Shelton B.6.2/10
Even match
Fils A.6.3/10
Marginal edge
Why
Surface+8 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Fils A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 2001Against the prediction · Fils A.
Head-to-headLeads 2–1 on hardSupports Shelton B.
Long matches3 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Fils A.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO2 182
Hard ELO2 058
Last 106–4
Age24
Height193 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $15.1M2026 $3.6M
ELO2 145
Hard ELO1 961
Last 106–4
Age22
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $9.5M2026 $3.4M

Ben Shelton faces Arthur Fils in the Tour Finals round robin on hard. Ben Shelton holds the paper edge — ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round-robin. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

13 shared · last 12 months
All 13 opponents →

Shelton B. and Fils A. faced 13 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Shelton B. went 9–6 (60%) against them, Fils A. 12–7 (63%). Results against comparable opponents are close (3 : 3 better-results split).

9–660%Shelton B. · better vs 3Record vs common opponents12–763%Fils A. · better vs 3
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
21–18Sets27–20
202–194Games229–200
2–2Tiebreaks3–4
4–1Deciding sets5–1
Show 10 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Shelton B. leads 2–1
Full H2H →
21

Evidence

Shelton B.Fils A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–46–4
Season win rate71% (46–19)72% (42–16) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2182 (ahead)2145
Hard-court ELO2058 (ahead)1961
Serve vs returnLast 61 vs 57 matches
1st-serve points won77% (ahead)74%
Return points won33%36% (ahead)
Aces / match11.4 (ahead)5.7
ClutchLast 61 vs 57 matches
Break points saved70% (ahead)66%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

20:30 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast11°C · Rain
Wind22 km/h
Humidity91%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Shelton B.Fils A.
6Days since last match9 — fresher
2Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
56Games · 7 days0 — fresher
5Matches · 14 days2 — fresher
136Games · 14 days41 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Ben Shelton vs Arthur Fils — Tour Finals Round Robin", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-15/fils-vs-shelton-tour-finals-rr?utm_source=cite (as of 15 November 2026).