Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Arthur FilsUS Open Round of 128

US Open · ATP · Round of 128
#53ATP
1833ELO
1803Hard ELO
28 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 31 August 2026 ·
hard
Louis Armstrong Stadium · 2nd on
#11ATP
2001ELO
1930Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
Tsitsipas S.
4-6 7-6 6-1 6-4
Fils A.
Tsitsipas S.
477663
Fils A.
663141

Stefanos Tsitsipas defeated Arthur Fils in the Round of 128 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 4-6, 7-6, 6-1, 6-4 in favor of Tsitsipas. Tsitsipas served 14 aces and committed 7 double faults, while converting 42% of break points and securing 5 service breaks, compared to Fils' 10 aces, 4 double faults, 43% break point conversion, and 3 service breaks.

Around the match

  • I also think someone like Arthur Fils, in this context, is a very serious contender for the title.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

05
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-18Miami MastersR32hardArthur Fils6-0 6-1
2025-05-07Rome MastersR32clayArthur Fils2-6 6-4 6-2
2025-04-14BarcelonaQFclayArthur Fils2-0
2024-10-21BaselQFhardArthur Fils7-6 6-3
2023-10-16AntwerpSFhardArthur Fils7-6 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
57%
Service points won·Even
69%
68%
Return points won·Even
34%
35%
Break points saved·Even
68%
67%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.9
4.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
81
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Clear edge
71
54
Deciding sets·Even
99
98
Tiebreaks·Even
96
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Tsitsipas S.25%
Fils A.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Fils A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1802
Surface ELO
6.6+127 Hard Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1833
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 2001
1.8Trails 0–3 on hard
H2H
8.2Leads 3–0 on hard
4.95 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
9.29 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
67
68

Tsitsipas S.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 62 games (7d) · Fils A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw