Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton — Washington Round of 32
USAQ
USA2
Damm M.Martin Damm faces Ben Shelton in the Washington round of 32 on hard. Ben Shelton holds the paper edge — ranked #6, a roughly 260-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Shelton B. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: Ben Shelton has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 73 vs Martin Damm's 26).
- Last match: Martin Damm dropped the opening set before beating Abedallah Shelbayh 4–6 7–5 7–6.
- Fatigue load: Martin Damm carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadDamm M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 14 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.