Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo — Stockholm Round of 16
Why
Surface+48 Hard Elo edgeSupports Tabilo A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1819Supports Tabilo A.
Recent run3-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Sonego L.
Head-to-headSplit 1–1 on hardSupports Tabilo A.
This eventReached the quarters here last yearAgainst the prediction · Sonego L.
ELO1 901
Hard ELO1 774
Last 106–4
Age31
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $10.3M2026 $981K
ELO1 939
Hard ELO1 786
Last 103–7
Age29
Height188 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $6.2M2026 $1.5M
Lorenzo Sonego faces Alejandro Tabilo in the Stockholm round of 16 on hard. Alejandro Tabilo is the paper favourite — ranked #31, a roughly 50-point hard Elo advantage — but Lorenzo Sonego arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 9 on hard to Alejandro Tabilo's 3 of 9. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1.
Key context
- Freshness: Lorenzo Sonego comes in with 2 days of rest and 127 games in 14d, vs Alejandro Tabilo's 8 and 35.
- Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Lorenzo Sonego grades 49 on serve, Alejandro Tabilo 29 on return.
- Last match: Lorenzo Sonego edged Quentin Halys in two tight sets (6–4 7–6).
Common opponents
8 shared · last 12 monthsSonego L. and Tabilo A. faced 8 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Sonego L. went 3–5 (38%) against them, Tabilo A. 4–5 (44%). Results against comparable opponents are close (3 : 4 better-results split).
3–538%Sonego L. · better vs 3Record vs common opponents4–544%Tabilo A. · better vs 4
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
9–13Sets10–15
112–124Games121–128
4–2Tiebreaks1–3
0–1Deciding sets2–1
vs Zverev A.#1L4-6 6-3 7-6(7) 5-7 4-6US Open · hardL2-6 6-7(2) 2-6US Open · hard
vs Shelton B.#4L5-7 3-6Halle · grassW4-6 7-5 6-4Washington · hard- vs Paul T.#13L3-6 2-6 4-6Roland Garros · clayW6-1 6-2Tokyo · hard
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vs Etcheverry T.#29W6-4 6-4 6-7 7-6Wimbledon · grassL6-3 6-7 4-6Rio de Janeiro · clay
vs Halys Q.#45W6-4 7-6(4)Stockholm · hardL2-6 2-6 6-7Australian Open · hard
vs Griekspoor T.#49L6-7(5) 5-7Montreal · hardW7-6(3) 4-6 6-4Washington · hard- vs Mannarino A.#61W6-1 7-6(5)Winston-Salem · hardL4-6 4-6Chengdu · hard
vs Majchrzak K.#82L5-7 2-6Tokyo · hardL3-6 5-7 5-7Wimbledon · grass
Head-to-head
2 meetings · level 1–111
- Tabilo A.August 2024Canada MastersHard6-4 6-2
- Sonego L.August 2022Winston-SalemHard7-5 6-1
Evidence
Sonego L.Tabilo A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate45% (19–23)56% (38–30) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO19011939 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO17741786 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 42 vs 61 matches
1st-serve points won74%74%
Return points won34%37% (ahead)
Aces / match8.1 (ahead)6.0
ClutchLast 42 vs 61 matches
Break points saved62%62%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo — Stockholm Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-11/sonego-vs-tabilo-stockholm-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 11 November 2026).