Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo Sonego — Winston-Salem Round of 32

Winston-Salem · ATP · Round of 32
Adrian Mannarino
FRA9
Adrian Mannarino
#67ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$644kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
Lorenzo Sonego
ITA
Lorenzo Sonego
#91ATP
1719ELO
1702Hard ELO
$448kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWLW
Mannarino A.
1-6 6-7
Sonego L.
Mannarino A.
1650
Sonego L.
6772

Lorenzo Sonego defeated Adrian Mannarino in the Round of 32 at the Winston-Salem tournament. Sonego won in a 1-6, 6-7 result. Sonego hit 9 aces and 1 double fault, while Mannarino hit 2 aces and 4 double faults.

Key context

  • Match story: Lorenzo Sonego came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

3–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-26BeijingR32hardAdrian Mannarino1-6 6-2 6-3
2024-01-01United CupRRhardAdrian Mannarino6-4 6-4
2020-08-31US OpenR128hardAdrian Mannarino6-1 6-4 2-6 6-3
2019-06-24AntalyaQFgrassLorenzo Sonego3-6 7-6 6-3
2018-05-14Rome MastersR64clayLorenzo Sonego2-6 7-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
Mannarino A.Sonego L.
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
Return points won·Even
35%
34%
Break points saved·Even
57%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.7
7.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Mannarino A.Sonego L.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
60
50
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
97
Break points won·Dominant
72
19
Deciding sets·Clear edge
79
59
Tiebreaks·Dominant
13
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Mannarino A.36%
Sonego L.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Sonego L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mannarino A.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Sonego L.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1647
Surface ELO
5.7+54 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1673
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1719
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
2.93 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Mannarino A.Sonego L.
Freshness·Clear edge
91
68

Mannarino A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Sonego L.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw