Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala — Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong Final
Why
Surface+198 Hard Elo edgeSupports Eala A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1895Supports Eala A.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · Liu C.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Liu C.
Opponent formOpponent hot: 8 of last 10Against the prediction · Liu C.
ELO1 862
Hard ELO1 713
Last 108–2
Age26
Height170 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.8M2026 $477K
ELO1 990
Hard ELO1 832
Last 107–3
Age21
Height173 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $3.4M2026 $2.1M
Claire Liu faces Alexandra Eala in the Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong final on hard. Alexandra Eala is the paper favourite — ranked #17, a roughly 200-point hard Elo advantage — but Claire Liu has won their only previous meeting. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Form trend: Claire Liu's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Alexandra Eala's has cooled.
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Claire Liu 115 games in 14 days, Alexandra Eala 137.
- Last match: Claire Liu edged Alexandra Shubladze in two tight sets (7–5 6–4).
Common opponents
8 shared · last 12 monthsLiu C. and Eala A. faced 8 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Liu C. went 4–5 (44%) against them, Eala A. 8–3 (73%). Eala A. came out better against 5 of 8 comparable opponents, Liu C. against 1 — though 1 of those edges carries caveats (retirement).
4–544%Liu C. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents8–373%Eala A. · better vs 5
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
10–11Sets17–7
99–104Games123–104
2–0Tiebreaks3–1
1–2Deciding sets1–1
vs Gauff C.#4L3-6 7-6 2-6Wimbledon · grassW6-2 2-0Indian Wells · hard
vs Sakkari M.#30L3-6 3-6Roland Garros · clayW7-5 3-6 6-4Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong · hard
vs Sonmez Z.#67W7-5 6-3Wimbledon · grassW6-4 6-3Abu Dhabi · hard
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vs Linette M.#68L4-6 3-6Japan Open - Osaka · hardW6-3 7-6Miami · hard
vs Ruzic A.#81W4-6 7-6(5) 6-4Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou · hardW7-6(7) 7-5Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong · hard
vs Valentova T.#85L4-6 6-2 2-6Saint Malo 125 · clayL6-7 1-6Doha · hard- vs Stoiana M.#114L3-6 5-7Sao Paulo · hardW6-1 6-2US Open · hard
vs Prozorova T.#124W6-2 6-4Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong · hardL6-4 5-7 3-6Singapore · hard
Evidence
Liu C.Eala A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)7–3
Season win rate68% (46–22) (ahead)66% (48–25)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO18621990 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO17131832 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 65 vs 72 matches
1st-serve points won63%63%
Return points won47% (ahead)45%
Aces / match3.1 (ahead)1.4
ClutchLast 65 vs 72 matches
Break points saved55%57% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala — Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong Final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-08/eala-vs-liu-hong-kong-tennis-open-hong-kong-f?utm_source=cite (as of 8 November 2026).