Claire Liu vs Magda Linette — Japan Open - Osaka Round of 32
Why
Surface+145 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Linette M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1831Against the prediction · Linette M.
Recent run2-match win streakSupports Liu C.
Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 834
Hard ELO1 676
Last 107–3
Age26
Height170 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.8M2026 $477K
ELO1 822
Hard ELO1 683
Last 101–9
Age34
Height171 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $9.2M2026 $1.1M
Claire Liu faces Magda Linette in the Japan Open - Osaka round of 32 on hard. Magda Linette is the paper favourite — ranked #77, a roughly 140-point hard Elo advantage — but Claire Liu has won their only previous meeting, though none on hard. Claire Liu brings the better recent hard form (6 of 9).
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Claire Liu 73 games in 14 days, Magda Linette 21.
- Under pressure: Magda Linette has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 53 vs Claire Liu's 18).
- Surface form: Claire Liu 6 of 9, Magda Linette 1 of 9 on hard recently — Claire Liu the sharper of late.
Common opponents
6 shared · last 12 monthsLiu C. and Linette M. faced 6 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Liu C. went 4–3 (57%) against them, Linette M. 3–4 (43%). Results against comparable opponents are close (2 : 2 better-results split).
4–357%Liu C. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents3–443%Linette M. · better vs 2
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
9–8Sets5–10
80–73Games70–79
0–1Tiebreaks0–2
2–1Deciding sets1–0
vs Eala A.#19W2-6 6-4 6-4Guangzhou · hardL3-6 2-6Auckland · hard
vs Sonmez Z.#59W7-5 6-3Wimbledon · grassW6-4 6-2s Hertogenbosch · grass
vs Valentova T.#62L4-6 6-2 2-6Saint Malo 125 · clayW5-7 6-4Roland Garros · clay
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vs Kraus S.#75L4-6 3-6Cincinnati · hardL6-7(3) 2-6Wuhan · hard
vs Hontama M.#164W4-6 6-2 6-3Austin 125 · hardL4-6 5-7Athens · hard
vs Sun L.#199W6-1 6-0Roland Garros · clayW4-6 6-4 6-1Dubai · hard
Evidence
Liu C.Linette M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)1–9
Season win rate67% (40–20) (ahead)46% (19–22)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1834 (ahead)1822
Hard-court ELO16761683 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 58 vs 40 matches
1st-serve points won62%65% (ahead)
Return points won47% (ahead)41%
Aces / match2.83.7 (ahead)
ClutchLast 58 vs 40 matches
Break points saved54% (ahead)49%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Claire Liu vs Magda Linette — Japan Open - Osaka Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-20/linette-vs-liu-japan-open-osaka-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 20 October 2026).