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Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Round of 32

Guangzhou Open - GuangzhouR32HardTue 27 Oct · 10:00
Antonia RuzicWTA #91 · CRO49%
VSToss-up
Claire LiuWTA #95 · USA51%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
49%51%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Ruzic A.6.3/10
Marginal edge
Liu C.5.9/10
Even match
Why
Surface+82 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Ruzic A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1739Against the prediction · Ruzic A.
Long matches3 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Liu C.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 822
Hard ELO1 716
Last 106–4
Age23
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.7M2026 $993K
ELO1 833
Hard ELO1 678
Last 106–4
Age26
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.8M2026 $477K

Antonia Ruzic faces Claire Liu in the Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou round of 32 on hard. Antonia Ruzic holds the paper edge — ranked #91, a roughly 80-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Freshness: Antonia Ruzic comes in with 2 days of rest and 119 games in 14d, vs Claire Liu's 5 and 52.
  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Antonia Ruzic has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 82 vs 17).
  • Surface form: Both 6 of 10 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

2 shared · last 12 months

Ruzic A. and Liu C. faced 2 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Ruzic A. went 1–1 (50%) against them, Liu C. 0–3 (0%).

1–150%Ruzic A. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents0–30%Liu C. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
2–2Sets1–6
19–19Games30–42
0–0Tiebreaks0–1
0–0Deciding sets0–1

Only 2 common opponents — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Ruzic A.Liu C.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–46–4
Season win rate46% (24–28)66% (40–21) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO18221833 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1716 (ahead)1678
Serve vs returnLast 51 vs 59 matches
1st-serve points won58%62% (ahead)
Return points won43%47% (ahead)
Aces / match1.32.8 (ahead)
ClutchLast 51 vs 59 matches
Break points saved54%55% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast28°C · Clear
Wind12 km/h
Humidity47%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Ruzic A.Liu C.
2Days since last match5 — fresher
3Matches · 7 days2 — fresher
65Games · 7 days38 — fresher
5Matches · 14 days3 — fresher
119Games · 14 days52 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/liu-vs-ruzic-guangzhou-open-guangzhou-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).