UMPIRY
EN

Dayana Yastremska vs Zeynep Sonmez — Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong Round of 32

Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong KongR32HardMon 2 Nov · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
43%57%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Yastremska D.6.2/10
Even match
Sonmez Z.5.9/10
Even match
Why
Surface+3 Hard Elo edgeInformative
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1800Supports Sonmez Z.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardInformative
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Yastremska D.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 833
Hard ELO1 704
Last 106–4
Age26
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $7.0M2026 $929K
ELO1 870
Hard ELO1 729
Last 105–5
Age24
Height170 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.4M2026 $1.1M

Dayana Yastremska faces Zeynep Sonmez in the Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong round of 32 on hard. Zeynep Sonmez holds the paper edge — ranked #64. Recent hard form is closely matched. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, Dayana Yastremska ahead 1–0 on hard.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Zeynep Sonmez carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 2 in the past fortnight.
  • Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1, 1–0 on hard. Last met at Berlin 2024.
  • Surface form: Dayana Yastremska 6 of 10, Zeynep Sonmez 5 of 10 on hard recently — Dayana Yastremska the sharper of late.

Common opponents

16 shared · last 12 months

Yastremska D. and Sonmez Z. faced 16 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Yastremska D. went 8–10 (44%) against them, Sonmez Z. 10–10 (50%). Results against comparable opponents are close (4 : 4 better-results split).

8–1044%Yastremska D. · better vs 4Record vs common opponents10–1050%Sonmez Z. · better vs 4
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
20–24Sets21–25
214–227Games202–220
3–3Tiebreaks2–3
4–4Deciding sets5–2
Show 13 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

2 meetings · level 1–1
11

Grass: Sonmez Z. leads 1–0 · Hard: Yastremska D. leads 1–0

Evidence

Yastremska D.Sonmez Z.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate48% (22–24)58% (34–25) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO18331870 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO17041729 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 46 vs 58 matches
1st-serve points won60%61% (ahead)
Return points won43%45% (ahead)
Aces / match2.4 (ahead)1.1
ClutchLast 46 vs 58 matches
Break points saved53%53%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast28°C · Drizzle
Wind10 km/h
Humidity67%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Yastremska D.Sonmez Z.
4 — fresherDays since last match3
3Matches · 7 days2 — fresher
72Games · 7 days51 — fresher
4Matches · 14 days4
108Games · 14 days95 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Dayana Yastremska vs Zeynep Sonmez — Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/sonmez-vs-yastremska-hong-kong-tennis-open-hong-kong-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).