Dayana Yastremska vs Katie Volynets

UMPIRY

Guangzhou Open - GuangzhouR32HardTue 27 Oct · 11:00

Dayana YastremskaWTA #103 · UKR35%

VSSlight edge · Volynets K.

Katie Volynets(8)WTA #73 · USA65%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Volynets K.

35%65%

Volynets K. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Yastremska D.6.1/10

Even match

Volynets K.5.9/10

Even match

Why

SurfaceHard Elo 1733Informative

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1792Against the prediction · Yastremska D.

Recent run2-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Yastremska D.

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · Yastremska D.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 834

Hard ELO1 703

Last 105–5

Age26

Height175 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $7.0M2026 $929K

ELO1 869

Hard ELO1 729

Last 106–4

Age24

Height170 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $3.1M2026 $566K

Dayana Yastremska faces Katie Volynets in the Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou round of 32 on hard. Katie Volynets holds the paper edge — ranked #73. Recent hard form is closely matched. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, Dayana Yastremska ahead 1–0 on hard.

Key context

Freshness: Dayana Yastremska comes in with 1 days of rest and 102 games in 14d, vs Katie Volynets's 8 and 110.
Under pressure: In the tight moments, Dayana Yastremska has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 38 vs 14).
Last match: Dayana Yastremska dropped just 6 games past Emerson Jones.

Common opponents

7 shared · last 12 months

Yastremska D. and Volynets K. faced 7 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Yastremska D. went 2–6 (25%) against them, Volynets K. 2–6 (25%). Results against comparable opponents are close (2 : 2 better-results split).

2–625%Yastremska D. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents2–625%Volynets K. · better vs 2

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

5–13Sets6–12

66–99Games69–84

1–0Tiebreaks0–1

1–1Deciding sets0–2

vs Jovic I.#12L4-6 1-6Wuhan · hardL2-6 3-6Australian Open · hard
vs Ostapenko J.#24L4-6 4-6Miami · hardL4-6 6-7Indian Wells · hard
vs Li A.#25W7-5 4-6 6-3Linz · hardL6-4 5-7 2-6Hobart · hard

Show 4 more ▾Show less ▴

vs McNally C.#59W6-3 6-4Beijing · hardL1-6 2-6Madrid · clay
vs Rakhimova K.#67L2-6 4-6Ningbo Open - Ningbo · hardW6-3 6-0Korea Open - Seoul · hard
vs Maria T.#69L1-6 2-6Nottingham · grassW7-5 6-1Ostrava · hard
vs Bouzas Maneiro J.#96L3-6 7-6 2-6Wimbledon · grassL5-7 0-1Nottingham · grass

Head-to-head

2 meetings · level 1–1

Hard: Yastremska D. leads 1–0 · Clay: Volynets K. leads 1–0

Yastremska D.January 2025HobartHard2-6 6-4 6-1
Volynets K.April 2023StuttgartClay2-6 7-6 6-3

Evidence

Yastremska D.Volynets K.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–56–4

Season win rate48% (21–23)63% (45–26)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO18341869

Hard-court ELO17031729

Serve vs returnLast 44 vs 69 matches

1st-serve points won60%60%

Return points won43%48%

Aces / match2.31.3

ClutchLast 44 vs 69 matches

Break points saved52%55%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast30°C · Clear

Wind11 km/h

Humidity43%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Yastremska D.Volynets K.

1Days since last match8

1Matches · 7 days0

36Games · 7 days0

4Matches · 14 days4

102Games · 14 days110

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Dayana Yastremska vs Katie Volynets — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/volynets-vs-yastremska-guangzhou-open-guangzhou-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).