UMPIRY
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Andrey Rublev vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 64

Rolex Paris Masters - ParisR64HardMon 2 Nov · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Rublev A.
66%34%

Rublev A. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Rublev A.6.2/10
Even match
Etcheverry T.5.0/10
Heavy underdog
Why
Surface+83 Hard Elo edgeSupports Rublev A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1902Supports Rublev A.
Recent runLost last 4Informative
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Rublev A.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 998
Hard ELO1 834
Last 105–5
Age29
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $34.0M2026 $2.0M
ELO1 899
Hard ELO1 741
Last 103–7
Age27
Height196 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $7.2M2026 $1.6M

Andrey Rublev faces Tomas Martin Etcheverry in the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris round of 64 on hard. Andrey Rublev holds the paper edge — ranked #22, a roughly 80-point hard Elo advantage. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, Andrey Rublev ahead 1–0 on hard.

Key context

  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Andrey Rublev has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 77 vs 39).
  • Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1, 1–0 on hard. Last met at Halle 2025.
  • Surface form: Andrey Rublev 5 of 10, Tomas Martin Etcheverry 3 of 10 on hard recently — Andrey Rublev the sharper of late.

Common opponents

12 shared · last 12 months

Rublev A. and Etcheverry T. faced 12 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Rublev A. went 7–8 (47%) against them, Etcheverry T. 7–7 (50%). Results against comparable opponents are close (2 : 3 better-results split).

7–847%Rublev A. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents7–750%Etcheverry T. · better vs 3
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
18–20Sets17–19
184–197Games169–188
4–1Tiebreaks7–0
2–2Deciding sets3–1
Show 9 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

2 meetings · level 1–1
11

Grass: Etcheverry T. leads 1–0 · Hard: Rublev A. leads 1–0

Evidence

Rublev A.Etcheverry T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–5 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate59% (33–23) (ahead)50% (27–27)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1998 (ahead)1899
Hard-court ELO1834 (ahead)1741
Serve vs returnLast 55 vs 53 matches
1st-serve points won75% (ahead)72%
Return points won37% (ahead)35%
Aces / match7.8 (ahead)6.0
ClutchLast 55 vs 53 matches
Break points saved66% (ahead)57%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast9°C · Partly cloudy
Wind8 km/h
Humidity80%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Rublev A.Etcheverry T.
5Days since last match6 — fresher
1Matches · 7 days1
20Games · 7 days19 — fresher
2Matches · 14 days2
48 — fresherGames · 14 days50
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Andrey Rublev vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 64", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/etcheverry-vs-rublev-rolex-paris-masters-paris-r64?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).