Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Daniel Merida Aguilar — Umag Round of 16

Umag · ATP · Round of 16
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ARG3
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
#30ATP
1812ELO
1767Clay ELO
$1.4MYTD
$6.9MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 15 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 1st on
ESP
Daniel Merida Aguilar
#82ATP
1744ELO
1700Clay ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLWWWL
Etcheverry T.
5-7 4-6
Merida Aguilar D.
Etcheverry T.
540
Merida Aguilar D.
762

Daniel Merida Aguilar defeated Tomas Martin Etcheverry in the Round of 16 at the Umag tournament. The match ended with a score of 7-5, 6-4 in favor of Aguilar. This victory advanced Aguilar in the competition.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Etcheverry T.Merida Aguilar D.
1st serve in·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
41%
Break points saved·Even
59%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.3
3.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Etcheverry T.Merida Aguilar D.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
50
55
Break points saved·Dominant
94
64
Break points won·Dominant
8
46
Deciding sets·Even
84
87
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
63
49

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Etcheverry T.60%
Merida Aguilar D.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Etcheverry T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Etcheverry T.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Merida Aguilar D.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.8+67 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Clay Elo 1700
5.9Overall Elo 1812
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1744
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.35 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.98 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Etcheverry T.Merida Aguilar D.
Freshness·Clear edge
88
72

Etcheverry T.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Merida Aguilar D.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
31°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw