Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Dart — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Final
Why
Surface+107 Hard Elo edgeSupports Tagger L.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1684Supports Tagger L.
Recent run6-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Dart H.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Tagger L.
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Tagger L.
ELO1 813
Hard ELO1 723
Last 106–4
Age18
Height185 cm
EarningsCareer $857K2026 $784K
ELO1 821
Hard ELO1 772
Last 108–2
Age30
Height175 cm
EarningsCareer $3.8M2026 $570K
Lilli Tagger faces Harriet Dart in the Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou final on hard. Lilli Tagger is the paper favourite — ranked #53, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 110-point hard Elo advantage — but Harriet Dart arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 10 on hard to Lilli Tagger's 6 of 10.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Lilli Tagger 134 games in 14 days, Harriet Dart 200.
- Serve & return: Lilli Tagger brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 67), Harriet Dart the stronger return game (Return Rating 79).
- Last match: Harriet Dart dropped the opening set before beating Xinran Sun 5–7 7–6 6–0.
Common opponents
5 shared · last 12 monthsTagger L. and Dart H. faced 5 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Tagger L. went 3–5 (38%) against them, Dart H. 2–3 (40%). Results against comparable opponents are close (0 : 0 better-results split).
3–538%Tagger L. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents2–340%Dart H. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
9–10Sets5–8
85–101Games55–67
2–1Tiebreaks0–1
0–3Deciding sets2–1
vs Sakkari M.#30L7-5 3-6 0-6Rome · clayL1-6 2-6Athens · hard
vs Gibson T.#38L6-4 1-6 5-7Cincinnati · hardL5-7 6-7(6)Japan Open - Osaka · hard
vs Samsonova L.#43W6-2 7-6Linz · hardW5-7 6-4 6-3London · grass
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vs Tararudee L.#57L3-6 0-6Australian Open · hardL0-6 6-3 3-6Australian Open · hard
vs Badosa P.#61W6-4 7-6Linz · hardW3-6 6-2 6-4Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou · hard
Evidence
Tagger L.Dart H.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–48–2 (ahead)
Season win rate62% (36–22)64% (41–23) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO18131821 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO17231772 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 57 vs 58 matches
1st-serve points won68% (ahead)65%
Return points won43%48% (ahead)
Aces / match4.5 (ahead)2.1
ClutchLast 57 vs 58 matches
Break points saved54% (ahead)51%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Dart — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-01/dart-vs-tagger-guangzhou-open-guangzhou-f?utm_source=cite (as of 1 November 2026).