Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart — Japan Open - Osaka Round of 32
Why
Surface+184 Hard Elo edgeSupports Gibson T.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1737Supports Gibson T.
Recent run2-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Dart H.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Gibson T.
Opponent formOpponent hot: 8 of last 10Against the prediction · Dart H.
ELO1 826
Hard ELO1 760
Last 104–6
Age22
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.1M2026 $1.2M
ELO1 786
Hard ELO1 740
Last 108–2
Age30
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $3.8M2026 $570K
Talia Gibson faces Harriet Dart in the Japan Open - Osaka round of 32 on hard. Talia Gibson is the paper favourite — ranked #41, a roughly 180-point hard Elo advantage — but Harriet Dart arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 10 on hard to Talia Gibson's 4 of 10.
Key context
- Serve & return: Talia Gibson leads on Serve Rating (39), Harriet Dart on Return Rating (79).
- Freshness: Talia Gibson comes in with 8 days of rest and 18 games in 14d, vs Harriet Dart's 1 and 16.
- Surface form: Talia Gibson 4 of 10, Harriet Dart 8 of 10 on hard recently — Harriet Dart the sharper of late.
Common opponents
3 shared · last 12 monthsGibson T. and Dart H. faced 3 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Gibson T. went 2–1 (67%) against them, Dart H. 0–3 (0%). Gibson T. came out better against 2 of 3 comparable opponents, Dart H. against 0.
2–167%Gibson T. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents0–30%Dart H. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
5–3Sets1–6
37–28Games19–38
1–1Deciding sets0–1
Only 3 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.
vs Jovic I.#11W6-2 6-2Miami · hardL6-2 3-6 3-6Beijing · hard
vs Bouzkova M.#28L1-6 6-3 2-6Wimbledon · grassL2-6 2-6US Open · hard
vs Sakkari M.#35W6-1 4-6 6-2Singapore · hardL1-6 2-6Athens · hard
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Gibson T.Dart H.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–68–2 (ahead)
Season win rate55% (34–28)61% (35–22) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1826 (ahead)1786
Hard-court ELO1760 (ahead)1740
Serve vs returnLast 59 vs 51 matches
1st-serve points won69% (ahead)65%
Return points won43%48% (ahead)
Aces / match5.4 (ahead)1.8
ClutchLast 59 vs 51 matches
Break points saved55% (ahead)51%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart — Japan Open - Osaka Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/dart-vs-gibson-japan-open-osaka-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).