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Lanlana Tararudee vs Kaitlin Quevedo — Japan Open - Osaka Round of 32

Japan Open - OsakaR32HardMon 19 Oct · 11:30
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Tararudee L.
58%42%

Tararudee L. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Tararudee L.5.9/10
Even match
Quevedo K.6.5/10
Marginal edge
Why
Surface+32 Hard Elo edgeSupports Tararudee L.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1757Against the prediction · Quevedo K.
Recent run5-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Quevedo K.
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 820
Hard ELO1 743
Last 105–5
Age22
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.1M2026 $705K
ELO1 822
Hard ELO1 664
Last 107–3
Age20
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $433K2026 $308K

Lanlana Tararudee faces Kaitlin Quevedo in the Japan Open - Osaka round of 32 on hard. Lanlana Tararudee is the paper favourite — ranked #60, a roughly 30-point hard Elo advantage — but Kaitlin Quevedo arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on hard to Lanlana Tararudee's 5 of 10.

Key context

Common opponents

5 shared · last 12 months

Tararudee L. and Quevedo K. faced 5 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Tararudee L. went 2–3 (40%) against them, Quevedo K. 2–4 (33%). Results against comparable opponents are close (2 : 2 better-results split).

2–340%Tararudee L. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents2–433%Quevedo K. · better vs 2
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
6–6Sets3–9
61–63Games45–64
1–2Tiebreaks1–0
0–2Deciding sets0–0
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Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Tararudee L.Quevedo K.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–57–3 (ahead)
Season win rate67% (46–23)67% (39–19) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO18201822 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1743 (ahead)1664
Serve vs returnLast 67 vs 55 matches
1st-serve points won69% (ahead)64%
Return points won46%46%
Aces / match4.2 (ahead)2.3
ClutchLast 67 vs 55 matches
Break points saved56%56%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast24°C · Mainly clear
Wind2 km/h
Humidity68%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Lanlana Tararudee vs Kaitlin Quevedo — Japan Open - Osaka Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/quevedo-vs-tararudee-japan-open-osaka-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).