Kaitlin Quevedo vs Claire Liu — Wimbledon Qualifying Semi-final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
ESP7
Kaitlin Quevedo
#103WTA
1757ELO
1553Grass ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
Claire Liu
USA
Claire Liu
#113WTA
1669ELO
1514Grass ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
Quevedo K.
4-6 4-6
Liu C.
Quevedo K.
440
Liu C.
662

Claire Liu defeated Kaitlin Quevedo in the semifinals of Wimbledon, winning in straight sets 6-4, 6-4. Liu secured two service breaks to Quevedo's zero, advancing to the next round.

Key context

  • Match story: Claire Liu edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Quevedo K.Liu C.
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
46%
47%
Break points saved·Even
55%
54%
Aces / match·Even
2.6
2.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 44). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Quevedo K.Liu C.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
54
29
Break points saved·Slight edge
30
23
Break points won·Even
77
76
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
35
Tiebreaks·
—
39

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Quevedo K.68%
Liu C.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Quevedo K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Quevedo K.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Liu C.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.1+9 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Grass Elo 1491
5.4Overall Elo 1663
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1632
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
3.23 of last 10 on grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Quevedo K.Liu C.
Freshness·
74
—

Quevedo K.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
34°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw