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Pablo Carreno Busta vs Mattia Bellucci — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Qualifying Round of 32

Rolex Paris Masters - ParisQ32QualifyingHardSat 31 Oct · 11:00Final1h 35m
Pablo Carreno BustaATP #74 · ESP
Mattia BellucciATP #66 · ITA
SetsGames0
163
2
677

Mattia Bellucci defeated Pablo Carreno Busta in the qualifying second round of the Rolex Paris Masters, winning 6-1, 7-6. Bellucci served 11 aces and committed 3 double faults, while converting 30% of break points. He won 80% of first-serve points, compared to 63% for Carreno Busta.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Mattia Bellucci came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

How the match was decided

Auto-generated

Bellucci M. took it in straight sets, with three breaks of serve.

  • Breaks of serveBellucci M. 3 · Carreno-Busta P. 1
  • 1st-serve points wonBellucci M. 80% · Carreno-Busta P. 63%
  • AcesBellucci M. 11 · Carreno-Busta P. 1

Turning points

When the match moved
  1. Set 11–3BreakBellucci M. · Broke, never broken back
  2. Set 25–4Break backBellucci M. · Broke back

Win probability during the match

i
0%Carreno-Busta P.
100%Bellucci M.
Final · 1–6 6–7
0–11–11–21–31–41–61–02–12–23–23–34–35–35–45–56–7S1 · 1–6Set 2 · 6–7Set 1 · 1–6
  1. Break by Bellucci M.
  2. Set won by Bellucci M.
  3. Break by Carreno-Busta P.
  4. Set won by Bellucci M.
Pablo Carreno BustaMattia Bellucci
Recorded during the match
Serve flowCarreno-Busta P. broken 3 times · Bellucci M. broken once.
  • Hold to love/15
  • Hold to 30
  • Hold to 40 / deuce
  • Broken
  • Result unknown
Carreno-Busta P.
6/9Bellucci M.
9/10
Set 1Set 2

Match momentum

Whole matchCarreno-Busta P.Bellucci M.
EvenCarreno-Bu…Bellucci M.
Late momentumBellucci M.27
4Last 12 points8
18Last 3 games21
1/2Break points3/12

Break of serve

Match statistics

Carreno-Busta P.Bellucci M.
Serve
  • 1Aces11
  • 1Double faults3
  • 63%1st serve points won80%
  • 67% · 6/9Service games held90% · 9/10
Return
  • 50%Break points won30%
  • 1Breaks of serve3

Common opponents

3 shared · last 12 months

Carreno-Busta P. and Bellucci M. faced 3 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Carreno-Busta P. went 1–3 (25%) against them, Bellucci M. 1–2 (33%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 1 better-results split).

1–325%Carreno-Busta P. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents1–233%Bellucci M. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
4–7Sets4–4
54–59Games45–35
0–1Tiebreaks0–2
0–1Deciding sets0–2

Only 3 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Bellucci M. leads 2–1
12

Draw

Closing odds

Player context

Before the match
Carreno-Busta P.Bellucci M.1 944ELO1 8871 786Hard ELO1 7504–6Last 108–235Age25188 cmHeight175 cmRightPlaysLeftCareer $17.9M2026 $896KEarningsCareer $2.6M2026 $662K

Match info

  • Started11:00 local
  • Duration1h 35m

Cite this

Mattia Bellucci beat Pablo Carreno Busta 1-6 6-7(3). Umpiry, "Pablo Carreno Busta vs Mattia Bellucci — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-31/bellucci-vs-busta-rolex-paris-masters-paris-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 31 October 2026).