Mattia Bellucci vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Malaga CH Round of 16
Malaga CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#96ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$597kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 October 2023 ·
hard
#66ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWLW
Bellucci M.6-3 7-6
Carreno Busta P.
Bellucci M.
672
Carreno Busta P.
360
Mattia Bellucci defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-3 7-6 in the Malaga CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #66, leading the head-to-head 1–0, but Mattia Bellucci had been the form player, winning 2 of their last 4 on hard. Mattia Bellucci claimed a first win over Pablo Carreno Busta in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.
Key context
- Match story: Mattia Bellucci closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Brisbane | Q1 | hard | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-4 2-6 7-6 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.4
3.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.9
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 122). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
39
46
Break points saved·Even
95
93
Break points won·Dominant
4
60
Deciding sets·Dominant
47
15
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
80
87
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Clear edge
76
94
Bellucci M.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d) · Carreno Busta P.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 13 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast