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Lilli Tagger vs Magda Linette — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Round of 16

Guangzhou Open - GuangzhouR16HardThu 29 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Tagger L.
70%30%

Clear edge for Tagger L. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Tagger L.5.6/10
Slight disadvantage
Linette M.6.0/10
Even match
Why
Surface+92 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Linette M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1831Against the prediction · Linette M.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Linette M.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 792
Hard ELO1 702
Last 104–6
Age18
Height185 cm
EarningsCareer $857K2026 $784K
ELO1 824
Hard ELO1 684
Last 103–7
Age34
Height171 cm
EarningsCareer $9.2M2026 $1.1M

Lilli Tagger faces Magda Linette in the Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou round of 16 on hard. Lilli Tagger holds the paper edge — ranked #53. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

11 shared · last 12 months

Tagger L. and Linette M. faced 11 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Tagger L. went 6–6 (50%) against them, Linette M. 8–3 (73%). Linette M. came out better against 5 of 11 comparable opponents, Tagger L. against 2.

6–650%Tagger L. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents8–373%Linette M. · better vs 5
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
15–13Sets15–9
148–133Games122–100
1–3Tiebreaks1–0
1–3Deciding sets3–0
Show 8 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Tagger L.Linette M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–6 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate60% (33–22) (ahead)48% (21–23)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17921824 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1702 (ahead)1684
Serve vs returnLast 54 vs 43 matches
1st-serve points won68% (ahead)65%
Return points won43% (ahead)41%
Aces / match4.4 (ahead)4.1
ClutchLast 54 vs 43 matches
Break points saved54% (ahead)50%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast27°C · Clear
Wind7 km/h
Humidity54%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Tagger L.Linette M.
4Days since last match5 — fresher
2Matches · 7 days2
53Games · 7 days36 — fresher
4Matches · 14 days2 — fresher
99Games · 14 days36 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Lilli Tagger vs Magda Linette — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/linette-vs-tagger-guangzhou-open-guangzhou-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).