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Anastasia Zakharova vs Magda Linette — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Round of 32

Guangzhou Open - GuangzhouR32HardTue 27 Oct · 11:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
54%46%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Zakharova A.5.2/10
Clear underdog
Linette M.5.6/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+66 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Linette M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1831Against the prediction · Linette M.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 780
Hard ELO1 688
Last 103–7
Age24
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.0M2026 $766K
ELO1 824
Hard ELO1 684
Last 102–8
Age34
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $9.2M2026 $1.1M

Anastasia Zakharova faces Magda Linette in the Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou round of 32 on hard. Magda Linette holds the paper edge — ranked #77, a roughly 70-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

6 shared · last 12 months

Zakharova A. and Linette M. faced 6 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Zakharova A. went 1–7 (13%) against them, Linette M. 4–3 (57%). Linette M. came out better against 3 of 6 comparable opponents, Zakharova A. against 0.

1–713%Zakharova A. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents4–357%Linette M. · better vs 3
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
3–15Sets8–8
63–110Games62–71
3–0Tiebreaks1–0
1–1Deciding sets2–0
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Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Zakharova A.Linette M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–7 (ahead)2–8
Season win rate51% (35–33) (ahead)47% (20–23)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17801824 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1688 (ahead)1684
Serve vs returnLast 63 vs 42 matches
1st-serve points won59%65% (ahead)
Return points won43% (ahead)41%
Aces / match0.93.8 (ahead)
ClutchLast 63 vs 42 matches
Break points saved52% (ahead)50%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast30°C · Clear
Wind11 km/h
Humidity43%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Zakharova A.Linette M.
1Days since last match3 — fresher
3Matches · 7 days2 — fresher
54Games · 7 days36 — fresher
4Matches · 14 days2 — fresher
73Games · 14 days36 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Anastasia Zakharova vs Magda Linette — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/linette-vs-zakharova-guangzhou-open-guangzhou-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).