Lilli Tagger vs Barbora KrejcikovaLivesport Prague Open Semi-final

Livesport Prague Open · WTA · Semi-final
#74WTA
1684ELO
1687Hard ELO
18 yrs · 185 cm
Last 10
WWWLWWLLLL
Sets
Saturday, 25 July 2026 ·
hard
LIVESPORT ARENA · 3rd on
#26WTA
1874ELO
1820Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWWWLW
Tagger L.
vs
Krejcikova B.

Lilli Tagger faces Barbora Krejcikova in the Livesport Prague Open semi-final on hard. Barbora Krejcikova holds the paper edge — ranked #26, a roughly 130-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Tagger L.36%
Krejcikova B.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Krejcikova B. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
3 common opponents · Tagger L. 0–3 · Krejcikova B. 3–0 · small sample
Krejcikova B. better · same surface
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1687
Surface ELO
6.7+132 Hard Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1684
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1874
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.18 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
9.49 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
10.08-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

28 vs 2 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
40%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.1
7.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
5.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Tagger L.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Krejcikova B.

Krejcikova B.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Tagger L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
61

Tagger L.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Krejcikova B.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 104 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw