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Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Zizou Bergs — Basel Round of 64

BaselR64HardMon 26 Oct · 11:00
VSClear favourite · Davidovich Fokina A.
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Davidovich Fokina A.
68%32%

Clear edge for Davidovich Fokina A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Davidovich Fokina A.7.8/10
Dominant favourite
Bergs Z.6.0/10
Even match
Why
Surface+86 Hard Elo edgeSupports Davidovich Fokina A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1893Supports Davidovich Fokina A.
Recent run6-match win streakSupports Davidovich Fokina A.
This eventReached the final here last yearSupports Davidovich Fokina A.
Travel7h west, 8d agoInformative
ELO2 130
Hard ELO1 960
Last 109–1
Age27
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $12.3M2026 $1.4M
ELO1 985
Hard ELO1 810
Last 106–4
Age27
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $4.5M2026 $1.5M

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina faces Zizou Bergs in the Basel round of 64 on hard. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina holds the paper edge — ranked #13, defending last year's final, a roughly 90-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

8 shared · last 12 months

Davidovich Fokina A. and Bergs Z. faced 8 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Davidovich Fokina A. went 6–5 (55%) against them, Bergs Z. 5–4 (56%). Results against comparable opponents are close (2 : 1 better-results split).

6–555%Davidovich Fokina A. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents5–456%Bergs Z. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
15–14Sets11–9
136–143Games101–95
4–1Tiebreaks2–2
3–1Deciding sets0–0
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Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Davidovich Fokina A.Bergs Z.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss9–1 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate67% (33–16) (ahead)55% (30–25)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2130 (ahead)1985
Hard-court ELO1960 (ahead)1810
Serve vs returnLast 49 vs 53 matches
1st-serve points won71%75% (ahead)
Return points won36%37% (ahead)
Aces / match4.67.6 (ahead)
ClutchLast 49 vs 53 matches
Break points saved67% (ahead)61%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast11°C · Partly cloudy
Wind4 km/h
Humidity68%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Davidovich Fokina A.Bergs Z.
6 — fresherDays since last match1
2 — fresherMatches · 7 days3
61 — fresherGames · 7 days62
5 — fresherMatches · 14 days6
131Games · 14 days125 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Zizou Bergs — Basel Round of 64", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/bergs-vs-fokina-basel-r64?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).