UMPIRY
EN

Marie Bouzkova vs Anastasia Zakharova — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Round of 16

Ningbo Open - NingboR16HardWed 21 Oct · 13:00Center Court · Next on
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Bouzkova M.
74%26%

Clear edge for Bouzkova M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Bouzkova M.6.5/10
Marginal edge
Zakharova A.5.1/10
Clear underdog
Why
Surface+84 Hard Elo edgeSupports Bouzkova M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1871Supports Bouzkova M.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Zakharova A.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 972
Hard ELO1 787
Last 106–4
Age28
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $8.5M2026 $2.2M
ELO1 790
Hard ELO1 701
Last 103–7
Age24
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.0M2026 $766K

Marie Bouzkova faces Anastasia Zakharova in the Ningbo Open - Ningbo round of 16 on hard. Marie Bouzkova holds the paper edge — ranked #26, a roughly 80-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

10 shared · last 12 months

Bouzkova M. and Zakharova A. faced 10 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Bouzkova M. went 9–2 (82%) against them, Zakharova A. 3–7 (30%). Bouzkova M. came out better against 5 of 10 comparable opponents, Zakharova A. against 0.

9–282%Bouzkova M. · better vs 5Record vs common opponents3–730%Zakharova A. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
19–4Sets6–15
133–81Games80–112
2–0Tiebreaks0–1
0–1Deciding sets2–0
Show 7 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Bouzkova M.Zakharova A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate61% (34–22) (ahead)52% (34–31)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1972 (ahead)1790
Hard-court ELO1787 (ahead)1701
Serve vs returnLast 53 vs 60 matches
1st-serve points won65% (ahead)60%
Return points won45% (ahead)43%
Aces / match1.7 (ahead)0.9
ClutchLast 53 vs 60 matches
Break points saved58% (ahead)51%

When it starts

Center Court · Next on · Starting at 1:00 PM

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Center Court · 13:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast23°C · Overcast
Wind20 km/h
Humidity62%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Bouzkova M.Zakharova A.
1Days since last match2 — fresher
2Matches · 7 days2
41Games · 7 days37 — fresher
3Matches · 14 days3
50 — fresherGames · 14 days54
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Marie Bouzkova vs Anastasia Zakharova — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-21/bouzkova-vs-zakharova-ningbo-open-ningbo-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 21 October 2026).